10 Dark Horse Mailings

Please, see below, the two mailings we sent this year. Note that the majority were debutantes. Two of the horses went on to win at Group 1, others contested Group class. Most either have won or will this two-year-old season. It is often the case horses that disappoint show marked improvement at three. To appreciate the standard of this information why not write down your list of 10 unraced horses and see how they compare.  

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2020 - 2nd September - 10 Dark Horse Mailing 

Love Is You, Trained by Roger Charlton - 11 

This bay daughter of Kingman is very well bred in the ownership of Normandie Stud Ltd. The mare, Fallen For You, was similarly owned and trained by John Gosden. I would expect this filly to be pretty smart. 

Pointer: A trainer who can win on debut and especially strong at 11/4 and less SP. The stable have very few horses win second start when priced double-figure odds.

Rich Dream, Trained by James Bethell - Form: 41 

This son of Make Believe made his debut at York when contesting the Convivial Stakes at odds of 66/1. He ran well finishing 4th. A lovely-looking bay colt who is likely to prove a fair juvenile. Bethell's two-year-old often go well on their second start and I am hopeful this February foal contests an average maiden next start rather than higher grade. Time will tell but a horse that is worth looking out for this season.  Pointer: James Bethell's juveniles are usually primed for their second start. He's had winners up to 33/1 although his statistics suggest he is more likely to be placed than win. However, I do think Rich Dream is a horse with ability and looks up to winning races.   Love Is You, Trained by Roger Charlton This bay daughter of Kingman is very well bred in the ownership of Normandie Stud Ltd. The mare, Fallen For You, was similarly owned and trained by John Gosden. I would expect this filly to be pretty smart.  

Pointer: A trainer who can win on debut and especially strong at 11/4 and less SP. The stable have very few horses win second start when priced at double-figure odds.

Il Bandito, Trained By Charles Hills - Form: 7221 

This bay son of Acclamation looked an excellent bet last time out at Beverley, when drifting to odds of 11/4. However, Michael Dod's Northern Express spoiled the party with a great debut performance and both fair horses. I doubt there will be much value betting on this horse but worth noting next time out.  

Pointer: Not too much to say about this colt. He is proven and should be winning soon.  
Love Is You, Trained by Roger Charlton This bay daughter of Kingman is very well bred in the ownership of Normandie Stud Ltd. The mare, Fallen For You, was similarly owned and trained by John Gosden. I would expect this filly to be pretty smart. Pointer: A trainer who can win on debut and especially strong at 11/4 and less SP. The stable have very few horses win second start when priced at double-figure odds. 
 
Alba Rose, Trained By Mark Johnston - Form: 2138  

This bay filly was keen on debut at Lingfield when no match for the progressive Lost In Space. In the ownership of Dr J. Walker, I thought this filly ran well on debut and if settling better next start should do well.  

Pointer: Should go well second start. Hopefully this daughter of Muhaarar settles as it is always a concern when a horse is keen over 7f+. Very few of the stable's two-year-olds win on their second start priced over 8/1.    

Decisive Edge, Trained By Brian Meehan - Form: -  71

This chestnut colt sired by No Nay Never wasn't the most expensive yearling at £52,000 but by all accounts if well regarded by the stable. Should be up to winning. 

Pointer: Meehan is an intriguing trainer because his debutantes often go better at bigger than shorter odds. However, I don't think this colt will be a big price on debut and I'm never keen on backing his at short odds. If losing on debut, I would definitely take a look at this horse in an ordinary maiden second start. The majority of Meehan's horses win on their second start at odds of 9/1 and less.   

Depp, Trained By Kevin Ryan - From: -  0 

This son of Acclamation was earmarked for the Convivial Stakes at York but didn't make that race. In the ownership of Mrs. Angie Bailey, who has a number of horses with the stable. This £60,000 breeze-up purchase should be winning this season.  

Pointer: Always a very capable trainer who can win on debut but very few are successful over 14/1. Very similar thoughts for second start. I'd expect this colt to run well on debut although most are price to chance.  

Shesell's Sanctuary, Trained By Richard - Form: 30

Spencer Spencer hasn't had the best of season with his two-year-olds which slightly tempers enthusiasm. In the ownership of Phil Cunningham, this daughter of Siyouni cost £80,000 at the yearling sales.  Pointer: A difficult trainer to assess. I wouldn't expect this filly to be short odds on debut. The stable have decent place claims on debut and a few winners priced 7/1 - 10/1.

Faora, Trained By Richard Fahey - Form: 1   

Far from a unknown quantity but a horse worthy of note for the future. In the familiar silks of The Cool Silk Partnership, this daughter of Hard Spun was seriously backed for her debut at Ripon when running out an easy winner by one-and-a-quarter lengths. This chestnut filly cost £375,000 at the breeze-up sales, which must be one of the most expensive juveniles this outfit have purchased. I was impressed by this filly and she will be racing at pattern class.  

Pointer: Has proven ability and a horse that will be stepping up to pattern class. I rarely bet in this type of race and simply enjoy the spectacle.   

Florence Street, Trained By Andrew Balding - Form: - 735 

In the ownership of Sir Alex Ferguson, who rarely has a bad horse. This bay filly is a daughter of Iffraaj, out of an unraced mare, actually bred by Ferguson. Andrew Balding has been in excellent form all season with his two-year-olds and I would expect this juvenile to go well. Their debutantes often struggle to win at the first time of asking but a horse I would keep an eye on second time out if not successful of her racecourse bow.  

Pointer: A superb trainer who can win at speculative prices on debut. If not winning on debut very few horses win over 9/1 on their second start.  

Hidden Breeze, Trained By John Gosden - Form: - 494

It's good to see the Gosden two-year-olds finally start hitting form as they just haven't been quite right for much of the season. This unraced bay daughter of Dark Angel is out of an unraced mare and cost 300,000 euros as a foal. In the ownership of George Strawbridge. Let's hope this April foal follows in the footsteps of recent winners Indigo Girl and Uncle Bryn.  

Pointer: Can win at speculative odds on debut although probably 50% of debutantes are priced 13/2 and less SP.  

I will update on a regular basis.  

Good luck to all. 

2019 - 1st August - 10 Dark Horse Mailing 


Anyway, here is my 1st 10 Dark Horse Mailing (there should be another this month so keep checking your mail)

Lazuli - Charlie Appleby - Form: 118

Note: a homebred son of Dubawi out of a Listed-winning mare.

Do You Love Me - Karl Burke - Form (Unarced)

Note:  An exciting daughter of Galileo for Phoenix Thoroughbred Ltd

Thebian - John Gosden - Form - 0

Note: This son of Kingsman is worthy of note. A £230,000 2yo Breeze-up purchase.

Surf Dancer - William Haggas - Form: 511

Note: Made debut at Ascot but had no luck in running.  This son of Lope De Vega was a costly purchase and one of the better two-year-olds in the stable.

Ziggle Pops - Richard Hannon  Form: 3419

Note: This once-rated chestnut son of Zoffany didn't do much on debut in May but I've pretty sure the stable like this horse.

Persuasion - Charles Hills Form: 162

Note: In the ownership of Mrs Susan Roy. This 220,000 guinea yearling has ability.

Global Esteem - Gay Kelleway - Form - 3
Note: Gay Kelleway is one of those trainers who can spring a surprise on debut and this 150,000 guinea Breeze-up purchase races in the familiar silks of Dr Johnny Hon. Readers may remember we detailed Global Spectrum last year who won on debut at 16/1. Take note of Wadi Al Sail who is much better than seen when disappointing on debut at Goodwood.

Throne Hall - Kevin Ryan - Form - 3
Note: Ryan has unleashed a couple of decent debutantes of late (which you would have seen if checking the website) (Yorkshire Gold, Abstemious).

Beautiful Colour - Saeed bin Suroor  - Form - (Unraced) 
Note: This daughter of Shamardal is out of a four-time winning mare. A homebred who is expected to go well this season.

Skontonovski - Richard Spencer  - Form: 520
Note: This son of Harbour Watch didn't cost a fortune at 50,000 guineas but is definitely held in the highest order by the stable. Their two-year-olds have been a little hit and miss this season which may bring the standard down a touch. However, a horse worth following closely.

Thanks for your support.
Regards,
Jason



First Mailing - 


Posted: (send via mailing) 9th August 2018

John Gosden - 

Too Darn Hot - Form: 1111 - 22311 

Albert Finney Form: 9744 -13331234 

Karl Burke - 

Kadar  - Form: 1- 4377

Commanding Officer - Form: 421 (sadly fatally injured) 

Clive Cox - 

Eligible - Form: -  90 - 3421334

Ed Dunlop - 

Global Warning - Form: 32 - 31047

William Haggas 

Victory Day - Form: 54 - 121 

Saeed bin Suroor -

Silent Hunter - Form: 42 - 

Roger Varian

Farnham - Form: / 51 
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Second mailing -

Posted: (sent via mailing) 16th August 2018 

This is an exceptional list of talented juveniles.

10 Dark Horse:
  
Converter (Mick Channon) Form: 152 - 44980 

East Coast Swing (George Scott) Form: 80 - 

Wings Of Time (Charlie Appleby) - Form: 7- 1217 

Magic Illusion (Charlie Appleby) - Form: 353 - 

Fashion's Star (Roger Charlton) - Form: -  1 - 8

Imperial Charm (Simon Crisford) - Form: 331 - 243334

Farnham (Roger Varian) - Form: - 51

Prince Eiji (Roger Varian) - Form: 135 - 43

Quasar (Jeremy Noseda) - Form: 58 - 33

Royal Marine (Saeed bin Suroor) - Form: 611 (went on to win at Group 1)


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