Monday, 16 March 2020

Mick Channon's Aweemahew Wins


There's always a good reason to follow the 2019 Group Horse Entries even when it's 2020.

Sometimes you have to wait a long time for a horse to show its ability, even though it has only raced twice before. That was the case for Mick Channon's three-year-old Aweemaweh who won on the 14th March at Wolverhampton when competing in the Betway Maiden Stakes over 6f. 

This chestnut son of Bungle Inthejungle out of an unraced dam started his career back in August 2019 when quite fancied in the betting at 5/1. This March foal (17th) was priced 5/1 on his second start when heading to Bath, this time dropping back to the minimum trip, and finishing seventh of eleven. 

Aweemahew wasn't seen for a little over 200-days and seemingly unfancied on his third start at Wolverhampton. Stepping back up to 6f, he was well backed from 28/1 to 12/1. To be fair, victory looked unlikely at the furlong pole when Aweemahew was five or six lengths off the lead, and struggling for pace, before running on with verve. A combination of this colt finding his stride and the three leaders tiring saw him get up to win in the final strides to win by half a length. 

Readers of Group Horse Daily will see that Mick Channon had entered this colt for the Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2). 

Even after a long wait, Group Horse still details winners, often a big prices. 


Thursday, 5 March 2020

Is Bill Turner the Brocklesby Stakes King?


Anyone who enjoys two-year-old horse racing will be familiar with the name Bill Turner.

Turner has trained at Sigwells Farm, Corton Denham, Sherborne, Dorset for over 40 years.

A gently-spoken man, knowledgeable, and a grafter who has seen his share of gifted horses, especially sprinters. This talented trainer of two-year-olds is known for his success in the Brocklesby Conditions Stakes

The Brocklesby Stakes dates back to 1875, the most famous winner being Donovan (1888), trained by George Dawson, owned by William Cavendish-Bentinck, 6th Duke of Portland. Sire by Galopin, this bay colt won 18 of his 21 starts with 9 major wins including the Derby & St Leger. 

The Brocklesby Stakes is the first two-year-old race of the Flat turf season, taking place at the end of March or early April, at Doncaster racecourse, over the flying five furlongs. 

In modern-day history, dating from 1984, a number of very talented two-year-old have won this contest. 

1984 - Provideo, trained by Bill O'Gorman set a 20th-century record for a British-trained two-year-old winning 16 of 24 race and awarded British Horse of the Year (1984) & Timeform Horse of the Year (1984).

1994 - Mind Games, trained by Jack Berry, went on to race at the highest level, winning at Group 2, competing in the Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1).

2009 - Hearts Of Fire, trained by Pat Eddery. This son of Firebreak went on to win the Gran Criterium (Group 1) at San Siro, Italy. 

2016 - The Last Lion, trained by Mark Johnston, raced at two, concluding his career winning the Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) before retiring to stud. 

Bill Turner is synonymous with the Brocklesby Stakes 6 times. 

His triumphs include:

1996 - Indian Spark, this son of Indian Ridge raced an incredible 143 times winning 14 times. 

2002 - The Lord, this son of Averti was probably the best of Turner's Brocklesby winners if not one of the best sprinters he ever trained. He won at Listed class and achieved an official rating of 105. 

2006 - Spoof Master, won the Brocklesby Stakes on his second start, with the race taking place at Redcar. 

2008 - Sally's Dilemma, is one of just three fillies to win the Brocklesby Stakes since 1988. She raced just 11 times in her career and this was her only victory. 

2011 - He's So Cool, raced in the familiar silks of E A Brook, a loyal patron of Turner, who won the Brocklesby Stakes on his second start.

2013 - Mick's Yer Man, is a horse with a story. He won the Brocklesby by five lengths and took his second race in style. However, this son of Bahamian Bounty must have been plagued with injury and raced infrequently. However, in 2014 he won a Listed race at Ascot. Later sold by Turner to race in Hong Kong where he won prize money of over £300,000. 

In recent years, Turner has struggled to capture those past glories. Recent runners include: 

2015 - Just That Lord 7/2J 4th 

2016 - Crucial Moment 5/1 8th 

2017 - Hollofaqueen 10/1 4th 

2018 - Arthur's Spirit 10/1 8th 

2019 - Hell Of A Joker 10/1 14th 

Good luck to the stable for future Brocklesby Stakes entrants. 




Sunday, 1 March 2020

Understanding What Makes Your Favourite Horse Trainer Win

You are probably on the edge of your seat. 

One lucky reader must be saying: ''I've wanted to know the truth to this question and no one has ever come close to answering.''

''Tell me more...''

Perhaps I go a little over the top with the enthusiasm that my blog posts will be greeted. You know, or should do by now, that I enjoy making fun of myself and even though I am a grumpy old man (on occasions) I truly wish to help each and every reader learn something of value. 

I know most gamblers hate to do any work. I can understand because there is only so much time to do all this stuff. After a long, hard day grafting away to put bread on the table, do you really have the energy to think about horse trainers?

[Rebecca Curtis...vital statistics] (you beast!)  

Only you can answer this question. However, the answer is a big yes.

You may be saying: ''Why bother?''

Because it is one of the easiest ways to set yourself apart from every other gambler. I don't know the answer to this question but let's imagine. 

''What percentage of horse racing gamblers make their prediction from reading a racing publication whether real or on a digital platform?''

It must be 99.9%. 

I guess you could be the minority that just turns up at the course and waits for number 6 to wink at you!

What percentage use the most basic amount of information? You know what I am talking about - the last three races of form, perhaps a quick glimpse of the betting or simply follow a favourite tipster.

It's better than nothing - of course! However, the worry is that you are doing exactly the same as perhaps 80% of the gambling population. You may think ''So what!''. If it doesn't worry you then just carry on regardless. But it should be seen as a problem because it is logical to assume that the majority of the population don't make their gambling pay. True, there are slight variations and a little bit of your own experience that will make a difference. 

I've been working within two-year-old horse racing for 30 years. This year I decided I wanted to know more information about each and every horse trainer of two-year-olds. It was a huge undertaking and it nearly drove me mad. I love working to find new information but I started this endeavour not realising how long it would take. Some four months later the work had been completed for just about every horse trainer. It went from the likes of Sir Michael Stoute to smaller trainers such as Mark Usher. 

I can tell you something. I've been surprised by the information. It has been a revelation.

And you know what, you can do exactly the same with a little bit of work. 

I'm not talking months of toil with your nose against the grindstone. 

You could take a look at Roger Charlton and find out a few facts/figures/data and all of a sudden you know something very few people know. 

Here is one of many things you can make work for you to gain a winning edge. This is about winning and I can prove the point in very few words. 

For two-year-old horse racing, we all appreciate that certain trainers make hay while the sun shines. 

Older readers will remember Jack Berry. He had a vast string of two-year-olds and he didn't let the grass grow under their feet. He appreciated that the quicker he got the horses to the course the greater chance they had of winning. Simply because the larger horse trainers weren't in any rush and that gave Berry a couple of months to farm these early juvenile races and perhaps win 15 before others had even sent a horse to make its bow. 

Clever. 

He literally beat the opposition by out-thinking them. 

Well, each and every horse trainer has their own way of working. They buy/train different horses and have peaks and troughs. Let's consider two-year-old debutantes. When you investigate a horse trainer to an in-depth level you will realise this winning and losing isn't random. True certain trainers may have debut winners spread throughout the Flat turf season. 

However, this isn't the case for many. You may well be surprised by what you find by studying data. Because many high-profile two-year-old trainers of debutantes win over a limited number of months. In fact, you will see that a given trainer may have 70% of winning debutantes over a 3-month period of the season. This is a huge pointer. This information helps detail when their debutantes are likely to win or lose. 

Any statistic can be proved wrong. But trainers are creatures of habit and winning is often about intention. If a trainer has no interest in winning early-season because that doesn't figure in their plans, or they only run poor horses or those that need a few weeks to get fitter, then they simply fail to shine because the trainer doesn't consider a horse will prove positive. 

A very simple piece of information can help you appreciate strengths and weaknesses. 

By assessing a trainer's statistics you can understand what makes a winner while the layers or your opposing bettors don't.




Monday, 24 February 2020

Understanding 2YO Horse Racing & Finding Winners


Readers of this website know we follow two-year-old horse racing to a point of no return.  

In fact, if we stumbled upon the set of Mastermind, it would be our specialist subject. 

Knowing your niche is key to being a successful gambler. It doesn't take much understanding. There simply isn't enough time or need to spread yourself too thin. And for that reason, we eat, sleep and drink 2yo horse racing. It is one of the best ways to enjoy horse racing and to find that winning edge. As I have said many times before, you don't need to be the best punter on earth, just a little better than most. You could go for a deep niche of understanding a horse, trainer or even an owner, breeder or something so obscure that you wouldn't even consider it has much to do with horse racing or winning at all. 

What I am saying is don't waste your time looking at the same information as 95% of the population. Sure, it gives you insight but you will need a wealth of knowledge to use that in a way that others don't. 

That is why you need to dig a little bit deeper so the 95% dwindles down to 1 or 2% and ideally less than that. 

You may think that sounds like a lot of hard work. However, it isn't difficult at all. 

Sure you can do it yourself. 

If you wish to get the most out of your horse racing and find true meaning you will put the work in and just make it your own. 

Or you follow a website like Group Horse Daily or even work with me and get your hands on the most informed insight you can find. 

Sadly, I'm not giving my information away to anyone (beyond the 10 Dark Horse Mailing) because I'm too busy. 

I may bang on about not giving too much away for free but I can assure you if in my position you would do the same. I don't know what you do for a living? It doesn't matter. Because at the end of the day your expertise maybe this, that or the other, but we all work to a universal time of minutes and hours. Would you give me an hour of your time for free? Well, don't expect me to do it for nothing. It will never happen and I am not the sentimental type. I have been more than giving over the years and it creates a culture of dependency and people who have one switch. In big bold letters, it reads: TAKE. 

So here are a few basic pointers to help you beat the bookies.

Find your niche. 

If you think you can know about everything you are either Einstein or a fool. And I would be pointing to the latter. Know less and bet more - and double your brainpower. You don't need to know everything under the sun. Use knowledge with logic and reason. 

Dig Deeper to find that Seam of Gold

The gold rush happened because there was so much easy gold. Then it became more and more scarce. The only people to find any gold were the ones who knew a little more than most. They made a fortune while others clicked their heels. Find insight, knowledge, whatever you want to call it, which sets you apart from the rest. If you can't do that, don't waste your time. 

Facts are Facts

Data will give you the truth about anything - but only to a point. However, it will help you look in the right direction and successful gambling is all about having laser focus and seeing the wood from the trees. If you are looking at everything you will lack focus and burn yourself out quickly. You need to work in an efficient manner.

Enjoyment and Meaning

If you don't love what you do - it will be hard work. And if it is hard work you will end up resenting what you do or lack the motivation to do it well. That is why it's important to enjoy horse racing and your niche. It has to have meaning beyond simply winning and losing. You need to see the full picture and enjoy the story. As a wise old horse breeder once said to me (Nelly Cox) ''Every horse has its story to tell...''

Be part of the story and appreciate the trials and tribulations - and every success. It will help you understand that every bet has meaning beyond the money. And understanding and appreciating that point will help you find more winners. 

Conclusion

Betting is all about understanding. It goes beyond a horse on a given day. It is the appreciation of the knowledge you hold and especially the meaning. 

Good luck.




Sunday, 23 February 2020

Horse Trainer Quotes: Do They Pinpoint Winning Tips?

Clive Brittain Horse Trainer Looking for decent horse racing tips? Well, OLBG has today's free horse racing bets at the ready. 

I guess many punters associate the best racing information with trainers and their respective stables.

I mean, they look after the horse on a daily basis. If they don't know, who does? From working in my niche of two-year-old horse racing I've had a lot of people come to me detailing what ''inside info'' they have. Whether these people are connected to stables, owners or trainers. I don't want to know! 

Sounds strange, hey. Why wouldn't I want to know this ''valuable'' information? To put it bluntly, I don't want or need to rely on anyone to afford information.

However, each and every trainer is very different. Some are very good judges. They are usually the ones who keep their mouth shut. You often hear trainer comments when being interview by At The Races or Racing UK. You can also find a 'wealth' of information from various publications.

A few trainers do give you a straight answer. Bill Turner is as honest as they come and doesn't mind giving truthful interviews.

I used to love Clive Brittain for his optimism. The funny thing about being a glass half full man is that you can strike it lucky. Think back to Terimon in the 1989 Epsom Derby. Who else would have entered this son of Bustino? He finished runner-up to Nashwan at 500/1. Brittain was a master at ''getting lucky''. It had nothing to do with luck. 

In truth, you don't need to be phoning a horse trainer to know lots of good info. To some extent, they are not the best people to ask at all. Consider these pointers for the two-year-old horse: 

  • Some trainers are poor judges of ability 
  • They have a limited string which makes assessment difficult 
  • The world and his wife know – little value 
  • They do not understand or appreciate the opposition 
  • Some are blatant liars 
  • Why would they tell you? 

For that reason, I never listen to others. I've had people say the trainer told them about a horse. Often they run terribly. I have known a few trainers, and not being nasty, what they have told me didn't help find winners at all. Even if you own a horse many trainers are unwilling to say too much because they have little to gain. People expect every horse to win which is crazy. But give a few losers and the owner may get the huff and go elsewhere.

Probably the best way to learn about any horse trainer is to observe. They are creatures of habit. How many times have you seen a trainer target the same race with an exciting two-year-old? 

Each has strength and weakness but the key to their understanding isn't as hidden as you may suspect. With a little bit of homework, you will reap rewards and benefit greatly.


Friday, 14 February 2020

Grumpy Old Man at the Races

Firstly, that isn't a photo of me (however moody). 

I asked someone if I was turning into a grumpy old man.

They replied: ''No''

You don't need the transformation you got there a couple of years back. 

For all those who know me better than not, they would describe me as a good, decent, generous and non-grumpy part of the populous that is planet Earth. 

If you think I have been quiet, then you are right and wrong. I've not been saying too much on this platform but behind the scenes, I have been working like a crazy man to find those secrets to winning - when it comes to everything two-year-old horse racing. I've been looking at horse trainer statistics. The thing about working within the realm of numbers, data, facts, and figures is that the process is as boring as watching paint dry. To be honest, I think watching paint dry is more pleasurable. 

The good part of quantitative data is that when the said trainer is completed it is sometimes a ''revelation''. This term may be good, bad or ugly. But all understanding brings greater knowledge. As I like to say: ''Knowledge is power''. 

It's most certainly that. 

The problems with revealing this data to you as a reader isn't straightforward. Well, it is very straightforward in ways because I cannot tell you. Or, if I do, it would be in such a limited form that you would think you were on a slow boat to China. 

This data has taken me several months to complete (it's still not finished). It has been an equal measure of insight and annoyance. I wish it had been a simple task but when is anything worth its weight in gold a passing fancy?

If data is given out to a large audience, and they share this insight, it is worthless within no time at all. As you can imagine, I haven't spent hundreds of hours of work to just let it slip through my fingers for free. 

You may be saying: ''Oh, so he's trying to sell something?''

The information isn't for sale for the same reason as above. Because someone would simply take advantage and sell it. 

I would hate to put a price on the work I have done as it would be thousands of pounds in time. In fact, there is one person who will be given the information for free. That is my brother, Tony. At times, I have felt a bit grumpy when detailing the facts about so and so trainer and he says: ''Ok''. 

I think that ''Ok'' took three days' work. 

But that's life. 

Frustrations come and go. They don't last long. Time passes by whatever we do. So it pays to be productive. Because you have something of worth. No one is going to give that away for free unless you have been exceptional in return. Even being a generous person - it would be foolish to give everything away.

I endeavour to find ways of keeping readers - and especially those subscribers on the mailing list - happy and informed. 

The 10 Dark Horses do just that but I always want to give more but not to a point that I am working on all this information and giving it away for free. I wouldn't expect everything for free from you and I don't expect that mentality for me. That's purely someone taking me for a fool. I'm no one's fool. I don't need anyone to make my life what it is today. So we have to find a balance based on mutual respect.  

It's the same with access to the Group Horses 2020. 

I've seen a few people unsubscribe. I imagine they have read about not being given full access to the page and got in a huff. I think too many people get used to having quality information for free. 

Do I care if a few people unsubscribe? 

In ways, it is a touch frustrating. But I take those people as being very far away from who I am. They are not the people I want on my list so I am pleased they have gone. 

I don't owe people anything. Everything I do comes at a cost to me. Would you work an hour for me in exchange for an hour I work for you? 

However, I do intend to give more information on the mailing list this season, which will be a pleasant surprise and the information will be exceptional. I don't ever set the bar low for myself or others. So you will be very pleased you stuck around on the mailing list. 

Every time I see a new subscriber I say to myself thank you and their name. 

When people go...I just think I am not for you and you are not for me. 

The amount of work I have put into this new forthcoming Flat turf season is beyond anything I have done before. It answers many questions and brings even more confidence. This will bring you confidence and the opportunity to make your betting pay. It may come in dribs and drabs but that isn't getting second best. It is just the reality of the world we live in. If you go the extra mile for me (as some of you do) you will be rewarded like a King. 

But everything we do is about give and take. 

I have some amazing plans and opportunities for all readers and subscribers. Some of these things may even have a price on their head. But I can tell you this. Everything I do will give you value and make you money. And I am happy to put a guarantee on that. When we say something, given information, whether a horse's name or a wealth of information is it based on the foundation of trust, integrity and winning money. 

Thanks for your support. 

Monday, 27 January 2020

Betting Strategies: Early Season Pointers for Two-Year-old Horse Racing

In many ways, this post is a little bit out of time with the season. We are coming into autumn while this post considers the early season.  

That's what happens when I have a slightly quieter day. Always thinking, planning and trying to find ways to improve my understanding of this complex niche. I like to use the maxim: ''Knowledge is power''. 

You don't find much data beyond the pages of the Racing Post or one of a myriad of publications which do a fine job of keeping you informed at a very basic level. 

In truth, that level is satisfactory for the general racing needs, which I use myself quite adequately. 

However, what if you want to investigate a little deeper, below the surface structure and get into the nitty-gritty. I have done a little bit of research to show you what can be discovered and how this knowledge can help you look in the right direction when it comes to winners and losers. Both are equally important. Winners for putting money in your pocket and finding losers to lay (if that is your thing) or save you betting and wishing you really hadn't bothered. I'm sure we can all appreciate the latter. 

So I wanted to have a better understanding of the first month or so of the two-year-old season. It can be a tricky time for punters. Starting the season with field after field of debutantes, limited form, trying to assess the merit of form, appreciating the betting (or not) and, as we do here, making use of significant entries, which, again, are few and far between early season. 

Anyway, I took an hour of my time to investigate. 

This season started at the end of March, the Brocklesby Stakes being the only two-year-old horse race in that month, followed by just 36 2yo horse races in April. 

You can see from these numbers that the early season is very much a slow burner. It gives horses and trainers time to get into the swing of the season and assess. This is what we, as punters, should be doing, too. 

From a betting point of view, early-season punts are either music to your ears or a terrible red-faced mistake. 

That is why I am particularly careful. I would even consider it prudent to wait until the start of June before betting. It gives time to appreciate form and even horse trainers need time to appreciate the level of ability within the two-year-old ranks. 

So what did this first month or so reveal? 

It is quite interesting. 

From 37 races we saw 25 winners come from just 7 stables. It proves the dominance of the early-season yards who know their job. 

It will come as little surprise to see that Archie Watson led the way with 8 winners, many of these horses being the better throughout the season such as Lamberth Walk, Lady Kermit and Electric Ladyland. True, we saw better horses later season, but this is hardly surprising. 

Other top stables included David Evans (4), Richard Fahey (3), Mark Johnston (3), David O'Meara (3), Charlie Appleby (2) and Paul Cole (2). 

Twelve over stables found one winner apiece. [Michael Bell, George Scott, Tom Dascombe, Robert Cowell, Clive Cox, Richard Hannon, Tim Easterby, Jamie Osborne, Bryan Smart, Mick Channon, Jeremy Noseda & Joseph Tuite]. 

Winners came from a pretty restricted betting guide. 

Almost 80% of winners (29) were priced 13/2 & less sp. In fact, 21 (56%) of the winners were priced 7/2 & less sp. 

15 of the winners had previously raced. 13 were priced 11/2 & less sp. 

So much for searching for big priced winners. However, there were half a dozen which won priced 10/1 or greater. It's interesting to consider that these were all debutantes. 

This is just one of any number of years. I haven't done a study to appreciate whether past years had similar statistics. I would imagine they follow a similar path. Trainer statistics have a way of repeating themselves. So what have we gathered from this information? Basically, early-season winners come from the dominant trainers. This may vary from year to year, as the ebb and flow of ability go from one yard to the next. This has much to do with the intention of the given stables. It is no fluke that Archie Watson or David Evans feature high on the leaderboard. 

The starting price of winners is revealing. Basically, the chance of you betting a winner priced over 13/2 starting price (SP) is slim. In fact, well over half of all winners were priced 7/2 & less sp. 

Hopefully, this basic understanding will help you appreciate what it takes to be a successful punter early season. 

I will continue this study up to the start of June to see if it follows a similar pattern. 

Saturday, 18 January 2020

Flat Turf Season 2020 - Let's Keep It Private

I'm very busy and my time is finite.

Readers may have noticed Group Horse has been updated. 

Pinatubo is the lead horse from last season, while Quadrilateral and Cape Palace show the way. 

Exciting times ahead with Classic races on the horizon and a two-year-old season which starts with the Brocklesby Stakes. 

It's the reason why our exceptional information helps pinpoint the future stars of racing - before they hit the track running.   

Our prized 10 Dark Horse Mailing will be sent around July - August. (It's very likely we will be sending a second list towards the end of the turf season, too. )

Group Horse Daily will detail plenty of talented two-year-olds. The majority of these updates will be post-race. 


IMPORTANT NOTICE

Our 2020 Group Horse List Page will be kept private this season. 

The simple reason - too many random people and businesses are using this prized inside info and making money off the back of my hard work. I've had someone send me an email trying to sell me my own information!

Sadly, that means those who appreciate, need or just can't do without our updated Group Horse List will have to contact me and pay an annual subscription of £97. 

The choice is yours. That's the only way the information will be available. I use the information to make money gambling and I'm pretty sure that's the reason you want it too. It's a small sum to have something most don't.

The alternative is updating the entries yourself. If you price your time at £25 an hour, that will give you about 4 hours of updates (which may cover the first month if you are lucky).

By restricting numbers this information is even more valuable to those with privileged, private access.

Simply contact me via this email jason@grouphorse.co.uk 

Everything else regarding the website will stay the same. 

Thanks for your support. 

Sunday, 5 January 2020

National Anthem Hits the High Notes after Lengthy Spell on the Sidelines

I'm sure as you read the title you were humming ''Send her victorious, Happy and glorious, Long to reign over us...''

Well, you might be!

As it happens, we're not talking about Her Majesty the Queen. Not too much pomp and ceremony here on our little blog but a wealth of horse racing insider knowledge which may keep you on the edge of your seat until the knighthood comes along. 

So what is all this National Anthem talk? 

You may need a long memory but there is a connection with the five-year-old horse National Anthem and Group Horse Daily. If you take a look back to 2017 Group Horse Page you will see his name appear. 

Back then, this son of Intikhab was trained by John Butler, still in the ownership of Mark McKay (football agent and son of Willie McKay). National Anthem is out of a four-time winning mare [Song Of Passion] who was trained by Richard Hannon Snr. By all accounts, she was a talented horse racing in the familiar silks of Thurloe Thoroughbreds. She achieved an official rating of 101, contesting at Listed class. With total earning over £80,0000. 

National Anthem was purchased as a yearling for 42,000 guineas and then at 2yo for £50,000 by Mark McKay. 

The interesting point regarding this two-year-old's formative season is that John Butler entered him for the Lily Agnes Stakes, which registered with us as being a horse of promise. At least, a horse the trainer and owner thought capable of winning a race or two. 

National Anthem made his two-year-old debut on the 4th of October 2017, when taking part in a 5-furlong sprint at Nottingham. You can check the result by clicking this link.  He ran a respectable race, finishing fourth, beaten less than three lengths. I remember looking at the horse on the day because he was a speculative price, most probably due to being trained by a less fashionable handler. 

Anyway, for whatever reason, on the 6th of November 2018, he changed stables and went to John Balding. 

National Anthem made his second start on the 12th of November 2018, where he was relatively fancied in the betting price 11/2. Racing over 5f at Southwell, he dwelt, but led at the two-furlong pole before dropping back to eighth (beaten a similar number of lengths). Interestingly, the race comment noted: ''the trainer said the colt had a breathing problem''. 

On the 12th of November 2018, National Anthem had wind surgery. 

Nothing much was heard of National Anthem until the 28th December 2019 when it was noted the chestnut horse had changed trainer from John Balding to David Brown, still in the ownership of Mark McKay. 

On the 3rd of January 2020, after being off course for 417 days, National Anthem returned to Southwell racecourse, stepping up to 6f, and backed from 12/1 - 15/2. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan, he led from the stalls, completely outclassed the opposition, and ran out an easy four-length winner with 10 stones in his saddle. You can take a look at the full result by clicking the link here

So National Anthem won on his third start at five years old.

For a fast horse, who clearly showed promise at two, he had to wait a long time to taste victory. 

I can imagine connections were over the moon to see those dreams come to fruition. And along the way, some nice bets landed too. 

God save the Queen. 

Wednesday, 11 December 2019

Best Unraced 2yo Horses to Win this Season


It's a question that many punters have considered.

Their reason is crystal clear. If you know the best horses in training then you are one step closer to being a winner. Two-year-old horse racing is the perfect answer to the question of where to look. Unlike other age groups, every season starts with a blank slate. 

Now I know a lot of punters hate two-year-old horse racing for that reason. 

''No one knows what is going to happen as there isn't any form. It's a lottery. Not even the trainers have got a clue.''

The trouble with that reasoning is clear. They are words of someone who doesn't understand two-year-old racing and your point of view is inaccurate. To have an opinion you need to have experience. It's like me saying buying stocks and shares is a waste of time when I have no idea about the subject. 

You see what I mean. If you put in the time and effort I can assure you that limitation would be viewed as opportunity and money to be won. 

Fair enough, not everyone has the time to understand two-year-old racing. It is a unique age group. 

Far too many people jump to unfounded opinions about so much of horse racing and gambling. They believe just because they don't understand something that no one else does either. I don't mean to be cruel, but when I think about that statement I have an image of an ostrich with its head in the sand. It's a limiting point of view and in reality it does no one any favour especially the person giving their opinion that two-year-old racing is for mug punters or impossible to understand.

The other day one of my mates shared a post from Eric Winner tips. I noticed a comment saying you want to be careful of those gangsters. 

Perhaps it was written with humour. 

However, there is one thing I can guarantee about the person who made that comment. Which makes them even more stupid than they imagine. What assessment did they do to make their judgement? How long did they take to make an informed opinion about the subject they were quoting? 

Pardon me for making a judgment, but I'm pretty sure they didn't even look at the website. If they did, how long did it take to be the font of all wisdom? 

One minute?

It's ridiculous, hey?

So it's ok to make a judgment without assessment? 

It is if you want the owner or professionals of that website to view them with contempt. 

It is sad that people feel the need to make such statements. That they do not even stop for a moment and consider the only weak link is themselves. They are too stupid to even be able to even join those dots together. 

All too those who put in the work (often for none or little return) are targetted. But what do those who take so freely ever give back? 

The majority of people need to stop for a moment and take stock of who they are and how they think because from what I have seen so often is that their words are a reflection of their own limitation. 

If you want to know a subject well then ask someone who knows the subject well. 

It's not difficult to appreciate.