Sunday, 19 August 2018

Sunday's 2YO Racing Update

Soldier's Call Winning Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot 2018
Just the one two-year-old race for Sunday. 

2:00 Pontefract - 

World Order has made hard work of winning, although achieved an official rating of 80. Trained by Declan Carroll, this son of Society Rock has raced five times. His first two starts saw narrow defeats to talented juveniles in No Lippy & Charming Kid, when beaten less than one length.  

This April foal started at odds of 50/1 when competing in the Windsor Castle Listed race at Royal Ascot. Beaten just under ten lengths in fifteenth place. That pattern race being the only significant entry he has held, which may indicate a horse on the downgrade. Owners, Clipper Logistics, have a wealth of talented juveniles including Soldier's Call (pictured) who is trained by Archie Watson, the winner of this year's Windsor Castle. He ran creditably at Goodwood when third in the Markel Insurance Molecomb Stakes (Group 3). 

World Order isn't in that league, although, at best, a talented juvenile who should have won by now. 

He was far from disgraced when fourth at York over five and a half furlongs behind Chynna, tiring in the closing stages when 2/1 favourite.  

The first attempt at nursery class didn't go too well when beaten into fourth place of six over the minimum trip at Thirsk. It was a mucky day, raining, and the going was on the soft side, although the time wasn't too slow. Broken Spear won the race in imperious style, while the others fought out their own places. 

It's interesting to consider the chances of World Order on this sixth start. At best, he has enough ability to win a race of this class. However, you may be a brave soul to jump in and take a fraction above levels you devils (even money). 

Carroll has reached for the blinkers. Not the best sign in some ways. After a number of hard races, you have to wonder if this colt is starting to regress. At short betting odds, it isn't, perhaps, the time to take a gamble. 

I would have to take a watching brief.   

Friday, 17 August 2018

Friday's 2YO Update

Just a quick mention of significant horses running today. *Horses are not detailed in any particular order. I've added a few thoughts via notes for each race to give a little more understanding. This will not be given week in week out as I am very busy. It would be part of the subscription package for those of interest. 




1:20 Newbury -

Fox Power  3rd

Note: Ran well on debut at Goodwood when favourite looking as if needing the race. Will improve and holds strong claims. 

1:30 Nottingham -

Qutob (highly rated) (Charles Hills) 2nd
Converter (Mick Channon) 1st 

Note: Very strong claims for Qutob. Held in high regard and should take some beating. Converter is interesting for the future. The betting suggests he is not going to win today. Still may run better than odds 12/1. If priced 8/1 & less SP holds claims.   

1:50 Newbury - 

Boerhan (William Haggas) 1st 
Fox Premier (Andrew Balding) 5th 
Desirous (Ralph Beckett) 6th

Note: Interest trio competing here. Fox Premier is likely to make most of his experience after somewhat disappointing on debut at Sandown. The two debutantes are in best betting guides and hold claims.  

4:20 Wolverhampton  -

Al Mureib (Saeed bin Suroor) 2nd 
Bo Samraan (Mark Johnston) 5th 
Takumi (Roger Varian) 6th

Note: Interesting trio. Roger Varian's Takumi is a big price at 10/1. I wonder if there will be some money for this son of Mastercraftsman. 

4:35 Newbury - 

Alhakmah (highly rated) (Richard Hannon) 2nd
East Coast Swing (highly rated) (George Scott) 8th 
Yourtimeisnow (Roger Varian) 1st

Note: Very interested in this race. Alhakmah is well regarded and short price after a narrow defeat at Goodwood on debut. East Coast Swing is held in high regard and looks to be the best two-year-old for George Scott. I can see this filly going well and must have each-way claims. The odds-on favourite will be hard to beat but holds up the price of what could be a very talented juvenile. Yourtimeisnow is capable although behind the favourite at Goodwood last time out. 

5:50 Chelmsford - 

Isaan Queen (Archie Watson) 2nd

Note: Won on debut but struggled a little under a winning penalty last time out. 

6:30 Newmarket - 

Emirates Empire (Michael Bell) 9th 
Venedeger (Ed Dunlop) 2nd 
Waldstern (John Gosden) 1st 
Wojood (Hugo palmer) Unp 

Note: A competitive heat. All four are of interest. Emirates Empire is priced to go well for Michael Bell. He did well the other week with Lady Aria who we identified as a talent. Debutantes can be tricky so always something of a quandary if betting. However, a horse with ability. Waldstern is held in some regard by John Gosden. Their horses often go well when priced 13/2 & less SP. The two form horses have valuable experience, which counts for a lot. Venedeger is a battling type and one of few horses held in regard by Ed Dunlop. I can see this colt hitting the frame. Wojood is capable of better and may well have needed the race on debut when starting at big odds. Hugo palmer's two-year-olds can improve for their first run and often go well the second start. If fancied in the betting has claims. If very weak in the market best watched. 

Good luck. 

Thursday, 16 August 2018

10 New Dark Horse (Debutantes)

10 Dark Horse
We've had a raft of updates, so check out our page Group Horse 2018.  In fact, it has taken me a good few hours to forward this information. I didn't have time to write an update detailing today's runners. This is more important. 

As I say, the information is all here. You simply have to look. To be honest, you get much more out of doing a little research yourself because you have invested some time. To appreciate the new updates it is worthwhile keeping track of our impressive list of two-year-old colts, fillies & geldings. 

As always, I try to give extra value, so if you click the link above you will see 10 New Dark Horse 2YO Debutantes

Take a look. 

I do have one horse which I will forward as being a talent trained by George Scot called East Coast Swing 

This American-bred son of Exchange Rate is a breeze-up purchase which cost 400,000 euros in the ownership of G Bolton & B Jenkins. 

I would be very surprised if this horse isn't top class. I will be sending these 10 Dark Horses on the mailing when I get a moment but if you want to see then now click the link, above. I suggest you write down these horses and keep the list. Review them at the end of this year and you will see the high standard we are talking about. It will help you appreciate the worth of this information. 

Please appreciate this information takes endless work in detail. It isn't just throw-away information. If you value this information then share with friends, below. 

Wednesday, 15 August 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update

Main Desire
Very busy, so not a great deal of time to give a conclusive report. However, all the information is here for those who wish to find it. 

6:00 Kempton - 

7f starsports.bet/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Class 5) (2yo)

Eleven two-year-olds take part on the standard to slow going. 

Let's take a quick look at those with significant entries:

*Farnham is interesting. This bay daughter of Farhh is trained by Roger Varian and cost 110,000 guineas at the yearling sales. The mare was unraced but Farnham is related to three winning sprinters. Clipper Logistics is no stranger to good horses and it is interesting to note that this May foal held an entry for the Lowther Stakes (Group 2). It may be a negative that she has been withdrawn from that contest although it isn't too far from taking place so, perhaps, connections feel it will come too quickly.  

2:10 Salisbury - 

Tin Hat 
Crantock Bay 
Dirty Rascal

* NR


  

Monday, 13 August 2018

Monday's 2YO Update

Phoenix Thoroughbred Ltd - Mistress Of Love
A few two-year-old races for Monday. 

1:35 Ayr - 

Mistress Of Love is interesting for Karl Burke. Spigot Lodge must be pleased to have a few talented juveniles under the ownership of Phoenix Thoroughbred Ltd. You may remember that Kadar (one of our 10 Dark Horses) was meant to run over the weekend but was withdrawn under a vet's certificate. Mistress Of Love is an American-bred daughter of Scat Daddy costing $1000,000. These owners don't lack in money and I would be very surprised if this juvenile doesn't win. She has an entry at the Curragh for the Debutante Stakes (Group 2) over 7f. 

1:50 Ripon - 

Richard Fahey's Good Tyne Girl holds claims here. 

7:40 Wolverhampton - 

Richard Hannon has It's The Only Way going here. This Irish-bred son of Lilbourne Lad won his first two starts and carries a big weight which connections try to take the edge off with a 7lb apprentice. Not sure if I would jump in at short odds because these win penalties seem hard to defy. To be fair the opposition doesn't look much. *Wolf Hunter was given a significant entry early season but it looked to be next to worthless. He isn't the worst horse ever but been contesting at plating class and official rating of just 63. 

* NR

Sunday, 12 August 2018

Sunday's 2YO Update

China Horse Club - Red Armada
2:00 Leicester - 

An EBF Novice Stakes over 7f on good to firm going. 

Fume, a son of Frankel, was fancied on debut but showed little. Second start wasn't much better. Ralph Beckett is trying the tongue tie to garner improvement. Priced 16/1, it seems unlikely this colt will be heading toward the Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2). The only two-year-old in the stable to receive such an entry. Has a lot to prove and would have needed to have disappointed on both starts. Stepping up to 7f may help. 

Clive Cox has a few decent juveniles in his string. This may indicate that Red Armada has a fighting chance. This son of Invincible Spirit cost 120,000 euros at the yearling sales. Cox does well at Leicester. This April foal has received a Mill Reef (Group 2), which gives confidence. The stable debutantes go well at 13/2 & less SP. If strongly backed it would increase chances. 

Conclusion: Red Armada is interesting and worthy of respect. 

Saturday, 11 August 2018

Saturday's 2YO Update

Dr Johnny Hon
Just the one race of interest:

6:15 Lingfield - 

An EBF Novice Stakes over 7 1/2f  on good going.  Nine two-year-olds take part. All have race experience. 

A couple of these are worth a second glance. Global Warning is one of the best juveniles in the stable. This bay colt is a son of Poet's Voice out of a twice-winning mare. This April foal wasn't fancied on debut at 25/1 but showed promise. Gerald Mosse is retained by Dr Johnny Hon. Global Warning cost 155,000 guineas at the yearling sales. The form of that debut has worked out pretty well. However, I suspect this colt will improve significantly for his racecourse bow. Whether you want to take short odds is another matter. The tissue price details 11/10f. I wouldn't knock the chance of this horse because I think he is very likely to prevail. 

The other horse of interest is David Simcock's *Wiretrap. This son of Charm Spirit has been gelded since his first start at Great Yarmouth. I'm pretty sure the stable expected this bay to go well. There was good money for this horse, who adorned the second colours that day for Qatar Racing Ltd. That was the race John Gosden sent out Legends Of War who won impressively. That juvenile has proven to be Group class. A very expensive breeze-up purchase at 900,000 guineas. 

Wiretrap didn't achieve anything on debut. A slow start put pay to any real hope. However, his attitude looks a touch suspect and no doubt the gelding operation has been taken with hope of improvement.

This step up in distance may help. The 81- day absence may be a positive or a negative. The betting will most likely tell the story. If priced 13/2 & less SP this gelding has very good win and place claims. If outside this betting guide it would most likely be a negative. 

Conclusion: I would let the betting settle before getting involved. It could well tell the story for Wiretrap. In truth, Global Warning looks a tough horse to beat. The stable rate this colt and should go well. If Wiretrap is in the best betting guide, he has very good claims and may be a threat. If considering betting each way you may be wise to bet a point on these two as a stronger bet. 

*NR


Friday, 10 August 2018

Friday's 2YO Update - 10 Dark Horses

Phoenix Thoroughbred Ltd
A lot of two-year-old race and a few horses which are worthy of note. 

I think we have three which feature on our 10 Dark Horse mailing. You will notice a few other significantly entered horses are running. I will simply detail the races of most interest. I will do my best to point you in the right direction. These are general pointers being so in advance of the race. When I bet, I use information right up to the race. Whether you wish to use this information to bet or not is your decision. 

5:25 Newmarket - 

A few of these are noted by trainers as talents. Andrew Balding's Firelight is a decent filly although I am always slightly fearful of horses shouldering a win penalty. Interesting to consider the chances of Michael Bell's Lady Aria. This daughter of Kodiac is considered quite favourably. Bell's best debutantes are usually well found in the betting but he does have a few that win at big odds. This filly is priced 14/1. Looks a pretty tough race in many respects but a horse who could make into a decent juvenile. 

6:15 Haydock - 

We have one of our 10 Dark Horses running here. *Kadar, trained by Karl Burke, is certainly worthy of note and with eight horses could well prove a fair bet for each-way backers. This son of Scat Daddy is in the ownership of Phoenix Thoroughbred Ltd and 700,000 euro breeze-up purchase. This juvenile is definitely one of the best in Spigot Lodge. There is always a fear that debutantes will disappoint due to inexperience, lack of fitness or trainer unwilling to give their best prospects a hard race. However, this February foal is very interesting. John Gosden's Beatboxer is well respected in the yard and won in tidy fashion on debut. That experience is worth a lot from a horse which has proven ability. Once again, defying a win penalty is no easy task against decent opposition. 

*NR

6:35 Newmarket - 

Another two-year-old on our 10 Dark Horse list. Albert Finney is relatively fancied in the betting over this 7f trip. This home bred son of Kingman is owned by Rachel Hood. The stable debutantes often go well when priced 13/2 & less SP. They often go significantly well when priced 5/2 & less SP. A few of their debutantes disappoint. That is always the trouble with betting horses making their racecourse bow. Just about every trainer has better statistics with fancied two-year-olds on their second start. It's a fact. Still, an interesting juvenile if fancied in the market. Andrew Balding's Bye Bye Hong Kong could well be a danger and a horse worth following if not winning today. Their two-year-olds are often very good bets second start. This American-bred colt is a son of Street Sense and cost 575,000 guineas in the ownership of King Power Racing Co Ltd. You can pretty much guarantee this horse has ability. Strangely, the majority of Balding's debut winners are priced 7/1 & less SP. 

6:50 Haydock - 

Another of our 10 Dark Horses taking part in this 7f event. Commanding Officer is priced 14/1. This son of Poet's Voice wasn't overly fancied on debut when priced 10/1 and finished fourth beaten a good few lengths.He took at keen hold at York and should be more settled on this second start. It wouldn't surprise me if this colt is backed, so it could be a good move to bet early. Once again, there are a few talents in opposition such as *Motafaawit who has run well on two starts to date for Richard Hannon. A win penalty is a test at short odds, even for a talented juvenile.  

*NR

Most interesting:

6:15 Haydock - Kadar
6:35 Newmarket - Albert Finney, Bye Bye Hong Kong
6:50 Haydock - Commanding Officer

Good luck. 

A Warm Welcome

Just a quick note for those finding there way here from our recent mailing. Group Horse Daily is updated on a daily basis so it is worth a visit to take note of the latest news. 

To help familiarise you with the layout and pages of note, here is a quick rundown. 

Today's Notes: 

Generally, I have been simply detailing the significantly entered juveniles which means these are not tips. However, with an influx of new readers, I will be detailing the most noted juveniles for the rest of the season. This will help you appreciate the worth of this information. It takes hundreds of hours to detail this info.

2YO Races:

Every two-year-old race can be viewed if you have a Sky Bet account or subscriber to the Racing Post. I'm not hooked up to any affiliate scheme or whatever so I'm not trying to sell anything. Even without an account/subscription you can still see the race results for every 2yo race from the start of the season up until the Flat turf season ends. Click this link to see what I am talking about

Group 2018:

This page details all the significant entries for horse trainers big and small. This info is updated on a daily basis and reveals the best two-year-old horses in each stable. Horses identified with an asterisk (* Kadar, trained by Karl Burke) before their name are debutantes. As a general rule, the horses with the most entries are the best. However, this varies for each trainer. Click this link to see the page

Significant Entries:

Want to know what all those numbers mean (Example: Kadar NSG, Y, 30) then Click this link to see the significant entries page.

In truth, this is a very easy format to find lots of very good info, which most punters do not know. Over the next few weeks we will be adding a lot more talented horses, so you have free access at the right time. 

** This website is free until the end of the Flat turf season 2018. Beyond that point it will revert back to subscription at £499 per annum. 

Thanks for your interest. 

Thursday, 9 August 2018

Too Darn Hot Makes Taking Debut

The first of our 10 Dark Horses wins by seven lengths. 

The 6:35 Sandown - Slug And Lettuce 2-4-1 Tanqueray Thursday EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f on good to soft going, was turned into a procession with a masterful display. 

Too Darn Hot delivered an impressive turn of foot when making his debut this evening justifying favouritism at 8/11f. 

Frankie Dettori took the ride on this well-bred son of Dubawi, who is out of the exceptional mare Dar Re Mi (pictured). She won at the highest level for Lord Lloyd-Webber, winning over £2 Million in total prize earnings. 

Similarly trained by John Gosden, Group Horse had our eye on this attractive bay colt who holds a Champagne Stakes (Group 2) entry. 

Too Darn Hot was given a sublime ride by Dettori, challenging the early leader, Fraser Island, who was quickly brushed aside. Looking a touch inexperienced, he forged clear to win by many lengths. 

An exciting prospect.

See the full result here.  

Wednesday, 8 August 2018

Thursday's 2YO Update

A quick update of the significantly entered juveniles.  

2:40 Haydock - 

Just the one entrant here being Richard Hannon's Moyassar. This chestnut son of Tamayuz  ran well on his first two starts, losing narrowly. However, he won with ease when dropping back in distance at Chelmsford at 4/9f. A win penalty makes life more difficult. His major rival has a penalty too so it will be an intriguing battle. 

6:05 Sandown - 

Charles Hills fields Mutawaffer who has been well entered and nice winner second start before disappointing at Royal Ascot. Leading chance. 

6:35 Sandown - 

John Gosden has a few decent types in his yard and Too Darn Hot should take some stopping over this mile trip. Frankie Dettori in the saddle. This son of Dubawi is exceptionally well bred being out of the super talented mare Dar Re Mi who won six of her seventeen races and over £2 Million in prize earnings. Winner of the Prix Minerve (2009), Pretty Polly Stakes (2009), Yorkshire Oaks (2009) & Dubai Sheema Classic (2010).  Too Darn Hot has received an entry for the Champagne Stakes (Group 2) in the ownership of Lord Lloyd-Webber. Looks a potentially star juvenile who will come into his own at three.