Just to give people a freebie (because normally these posts are hidden until after the result) I will show one post every Friday, until the end of the year 2018.
Let's take a look at the significant horses going today.
12:50 Lingfield -
Difficult to know what to think about Orange Blossom. I have little doubt this chestnut filly has shown a high level of ability at home and reason why James Givens had her compete at pattern class. This daughter of Showcasing was dropped in class at Catterick last time out. Whether the soft(ish) ground didn't suit it is difficult to tell as it wasn't a particularly slow time. However, Orange Blossom was never travelling and ran pretty hopeless. She had the blinkers applied that day which have been removed. Were they the problem? It's a big question mark. Perhaps the all-weather surface will suit. At best, she has a leading chance but with a wide draw and so many unanswered questions you may be a brave soul to bet. I suspect, she will either win or be unplaced. Interested in seeing how this horse goes today because it is intriguing if not frustrating, too.
Orange Blossom 9/2 5th
Note: Another poor effort from Orange Blossom who has clearly regressed. Just shows how horses can go from talents to lesser lights all too quickly.
7:45 Wolverhampton -
James Park Wood is a decent two-year-old and well respected in the Beckett stable. This son of Australia was relatively fancied on debut but found himself in a very hot race (it was Group class). Stepping up to one mile second start, he did little wrong when losing by a head to a talented winner. Should go well although taking on a horse in Metatron who looked stunning on debut. Has to defy a win penalty.
8:15 Wolverhampton -
Readers may remember I noted Cadeau D'Amour because he was entered to run in the Brocklesby but wasn't seen until October! He didn't show any ability on debut and must have needed the run. However, there was a glimmer of hope next start at Nottingham when 66/1. It was a competitive enough race and this son of Camacho ran well in sixth, and given a relatively easy ride - pushed out hands and heels. There is always a fear that horses on their third start will be angled to nurseries. This factor may be a problem or not for this day. Isn't without a chance at 20/1 against a number of fancies who are racing for the first time.
This post has been detailed after the race as our free promotion has ended. For more information, contact jason@professionalgamblers.co.uk
Let's take a look at the races.
I will keep this brief as I'm busy working on other websites and updating information on Group Horse Daily.
1:10 Southwell -
Theatre Of War has won a race and well respected by connections. Like a few here, has to shoulder a win penalty.
Another entrant, the only horse for Adrian Nicholls, is Xtara who makes a return after a long break of almost 100-days.
Theatre Of War 11/4 2nd
Xtara 9/1 7th
Note: Theatre Of War didn't do much wrong under a penalty. Couldn't hold the late charge of Gremoboy. Xtara ran as though needing the run after a long absence.
5:15 Chelmsford -
California Love is one of Richard Spencer's better juveniles. This chestnut filly won on her second start. She has raced a pattern class on her last three starts and been relatively outclassed. Has a win penalty to defy but clearly a talented daughter of Sole Power.
Sirinapha hasn't achieved a great deal and unseated his jockey last time out. Has been given a Class 2 entry which may give a glimmer of hope but needs to show more.
Calfornia Love 6/4f 1st
Sirinapha 25/1 7th
Note: Dropped in class and easy success for California Love. Sirinapha will be better in handicaps.
6:45 Chelmsford -
The best two-year-old in Gary Moore's stable, Clara Peeters has been a consistent juveniles racing in the familiar silks of Richard Green. Won on the second start after a respectable debut. Last time stepping up to Listed class where she finished fifth. Has the apprentice jockey, Nicole Currie, in the hot seat to take 3lb off the win penalty.
Clara Peeters 6/1 5th
Note: Was held up at the back of the field and given a lot to do. Ran on well to finish 5th. Personally, I had a bet on Lady Lizzy who went well at huge odds on exchanges (17.5). Ran a great race. We don't just know about Group Horses - we know about everything when it comes to betting two-year-olds.
These posts are published after the race as the free promotion has concluded. If you are interested in knowing the best horses in training then contact me via email at jason@professionalgmblers.co.uk
Let's have a look at today's races. I will keep this brief as I can as not feeling a million per cent motivated at this very second.
I wonder which horses have significant entries? I'm looking for the first time just to show readers how easy it is to do this yourself from the Group Horse 2018 trainer/horse lists. The 2019 Group Horse (Info) will be kept for the private members' page so it won't be on this site, either.
Anyway, back to the millstone...
I will post this now as there are no candidates.
Take a read from a new website we have just acquired called Sprinterstogo. It's all about sprint horses and we've just updated a couple of good reads:
Dayjur: The Horse Who Jumped Shadows
Can You Remember Klute? (The World's Fastest Horse)
Posted - retrospectively (please detail your interest to jason@professionalgamblers.co.uk if you wish to know more...)
4:15 Chelmsford -
6f £20 Free Bets At totesport.com Novice Stakes (Class 5) (2yo)
Going: Standard
Runners: 10
Just two horse with significant entries: Brandy Spirt & Fares Kodiac.
Brandy Spirit was dropped in the deep end when competing at Class 2 on debut when making his debut at Newcastle over 6f. This gelding is a son of Charm Spirit went off a 33-1 shot after a few piranhas nibbled it back from 50-1. On the face of it, Brandy Spirit had a mountain to climb. His saving grace may have been that he wasn't burdened by the win penalty like Fares Kodiac who was just a half-length behind. Mick Easterby's charge was a little slow from the stalls but soon made stylish headway and unlucky in the sense of being short of room. However, he showed gritty determination to run on for a deserved third place. That first effort detailed a horse of some ability. There should be ample improvement. As with all bets, whether you want to jump in at odds of 1/1f is another matter.
Fares Kodiac is definitely one of the best two-year-olds in Marco Botti's stable. This March foal has been entered for a Listed race. He won by a breath on debut and then raced at higher class on both second and third start. As mentioned, he was just half a length behind Brandy Spirit last time out. There is a chance he will appreciate this turning course rather than the straight they met last start.
Conclusion: This looks out of the two favourites (no surprise) but neither horse offers much value. If they got stuck into one, or the third favourite is backed, it may make a better opportunity.
Fares Kodia 9/4f 1st
Brandy Spirit 9/4f 2nd
Note: A nice performance from Fares Kodiac who won under a penalty. I was correct in thinking this turning course would suit more than it would for Brandy Spirit, who was off the pace and run on with purpose.
Every good thing comes to an end and this is the final day of the Group Horse Daily Promotion. Future posts will be retrospective (i.e written about what happened). Hope you have enjoyed the experience.
Let's take a look at today's race action.
12:20 Doncaster -
Night Secret has received a single Class 2 entry for William Haggas. It details a horse of interest but far from the better juveniles in the stable. Ran ok on debut but disappointed (most likely ran race) next start at Newmarket. Has a fighting chance.
Clive Cox has a few decent sorts in his string. Unless *Eligible has disappointed on both starts to date he looks a limited son of Dark Angel. The significant entry may have been a mistake. This Irish-bred cost a pretty penny at 130,000 G at the yearling sales (cost more at foal). Ninth on debut. Even worse at Newmarket. Priced 28/1, but really needs a stick of dynamite up its ass. If is it has ability, connections are likely to be focusing on the nursery route. Dropping back in trip. Struggled to go the pace last time over 7f. Best watched.
Night Secret 7/2 2nd
Note: Eligible a non-runner. Night Secret ran well in second but not the class of the runaway winner Dazzling Dan.
12:55 Doncaster -
One of just a couple of two-year-olds James Bethell gave significant entries to this year. He is a very talented trainer who could do with some ammunition. Good to see Edgewood is in the ownership of David Armstrong, who could transform this stable as a loyal patron. This bay colt is a son of Garswood. This horse was nibbled at in the betting on debut at Leicester but relatively unfancied. Interesting that Jamie Spencer was onboard that day. The way this February foal ran, he needed the experience. There was significant money for Edgewood on his second start at Redcar. Once again, he took an age to get going - crawling back ground at the line to lose by a neck. You have to slightly question this drop back to 6f. Perhaps the trainer knows best?
Edgewood 5/1 1st
Note: Edgewood coped with the drop in distance in a tight finish. Nice to see this colt get his head in front.
5:00 Chelmsford -
Charlie Appleby has done pretty well this season with his two-year-olds. True Belief with start at prohibitive odds. This Irish-bred son of Excelebration cost £95,000 at the yearling sales. Ran well enough when a beaten favourite on debut at York. Flopped the second start when contesting the Woodcote Stakes at Epsom. He was fancied to go well that day but finished last. Was slow away and then much too keen. There must have been an issue to have been off course such a long time unless he was given time to strengthen up with a winter campaign in mind. Worthy of respect.
Interesting to see John Ryan's Battle Of Waterloo. Well, I say that although I am slightly fed up writing about this horse considering I was writing like Oscar Wilde when this beast was a non-runner when withdrawn at Newmarket due to soft ground. I really should cut and paste from the last post! (Joke). I never lack words about horses. Didn't do much on debut, perhaps showing a little bit of ability for a fleeting moment. Then, back like money was going out of fashion at Yarmouth. I don't know what was going on there. Ciaran Fallon (appreciate) either went much too fast or the horse ran off with gusto. Either way, it was there one moment and gone the next - tailed off. Interesting to see what might happen today but I'd take a watching brief. The only hope could be betting at 16/1+ and hope another gambler ensues. However, you may be wiser to just watch and learn.
Battle Of Waterloo 10/1 1st
True Belief 4/5f 5th
Note: What can I say? Even when I question the info it goes and wins easily at huge odds [16/1 early]. It really doesn't get any better than this. True Belief drifted in the betting and may have gone a touch too fast and paid the price. No more info coming on this page, so if you want to know the real talents contact me jason@professionalgamblers.co.uk
5:30 Chelmsford -
Mark Johnston fields Massam who has won twice in six starts. This son of Dubawi put in two wins and then stepped up to Group 3 [relatively fancied] but finished last. A fair juvenile with an official rating of 95 and total earning over £20,000.
Massam 6/4 2nd
Note: Massam led for all the way but couldn't hold off the late finish of Spanish Mission.
Thanks for all your support (but that's it for Group Horse - all future posts will be retrospective).
Another horse detailed in Surfman, who wins well. You know you don't find this sort of consistency.
Let's have a look at today's 2yo races of interest.
5:15 Chelmsford -
Days Of Glory races in the familiar silks of high-profile owners Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith. This American-bred son of Scat Daddy cost $300,000 at the yearling sales. Trained by Richard Hannon, he wasn't fancied on debut when starting at odds of 20/1. It looked a typical back-end Maiden (Stakes) with Andrew Balding hitting the jackpot with a 50/1 winner called Landa Beach. Days Of Glory weaved a wayward path that day when veering sharply left leaving the stalls, soon recovered to track leaders, shaken up over 1f out, losing place when impeded entering final furlong, weakened final furlong [Racing Post]. A recent Class 2 entry may give a touch of hope for this second start. No betting at time of writing so we will have to see how this colt fares in the market. Update [tissue price] 7/1.
Days Of Glory 7/1 2nd
Note: ''A fair race by Days Of Glory. No threat to thee easy well-backed debutante but hot the frame.
6:15 Chelmsford -
Mark Johnston is always a powerhouse. An impressive string with talented juveniles. *Themaxwecan clearly likes a trip as detailed by his debut win at Bath over 1m 2f. This son of Maxios knew where the line was, too, when flaring his nostrils to win by a short-head. Connections must think something of this relatively cheap yearling purchase [50,000G] because he has received two Listed race entries of late. Interesting if he can shoulder the win penalty which must take some bearing over these extended trips.
* NR
Not a bad day yesterday with a few horses winning, others hitting the post and one or two looking as slow as a snail.
A few two-year-old races today but no significantly entered so a quiet day. I will detail one horse that has no entries as yet but looks a good prospect who will sooner than later.
12:35 Nottingham -
A very strange occurrence for me. No significantly entered two-year-olds here but I do like the look of Surfman. An exceptionally handsome son of Kingman. No price but a horse with a future owned by ex-trainer Peter Winkworth, who bred the horse, too.
Surfman 10/11f 1st
Note: No significant entry but just as we detailed a smart horse in the making.
Coming to the end of the Flat turf season.
12:15 Redcar -
Div I
A big, old field on testing condition (soft).
John Gosden has King Of Comedy going here. This son of Kingman is a home-bred colt from Lady Bamford. He ran out a comfy winner on debut at Sandown over 7f. Has strong claims. Like all of these winners, has to shoulder a penalty. However, this colt ran out a sweet victor giving the impression he can progress to bigger prizes.
Interesting to see Victory Day making his second start for William Haggas. This son of Bated Breath is owned by Clipper Logistics. This March foal is detailed on our 10 Dark Horses Mailing so worthy of extra attention. He made his debut at Yarmouth, almost 50-days ago. Victory Day was relatively fancied on debut when slightly outpaced but run on in the closing stages. Should improve for that first start. This £270,000 yearling purchase was originally entered for the Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2). That was the beginning and the end of the significant entries so we will have to see whether this is something of a limitation. I would give the horse the benefit of the doubt. Even better claims if priced 13/2 & less SP (no betting as I write this post so time will tell).
King Of Comedy 8/15f 2nd
Victory Day 4/1 4th
Note: King Of Comedy ran on but couldn't get to the debut winner. Victory Day was held up a long way off the pace. Ran on but just didn't look good enough in 4th.
12:45 Redcar -
Div 2
Another big, old field.
Five Amarones was an inspired purchase by Mike Smith from the Tom Dascombe stable. Next start, cruised home by four-and-a-half lengths. Considering this gelding was narrowly beaten by a head in a Selling Stakes, such an impressive victory came as something of a surprise. There is one thing that this horse likes - soft ground. Disappointed last time out at Nursery class and, I guess, reason connections have gone back to Stakes class. Has to shoulder a win penalty although a 5lb apprentice perched on top. Five Amarones is a limited horse with an official rating of 74. His strength is the testing ground.
Kevin Ryan has George Mallory is on a recovery mission. This son of Kingman cost 145,000 Euros at the breeze-up sales. Readers will be familiar with the F. Gillespie's silks. This February foal was given a stiff task by making his debut in the Convivial Maiden Stakes (the richest Maiden in Europe). He was quite fancied that day when priced 11/1 at York. It was a very good debut when finishing 6th place and a similar number of lengths. I'm pretty sure connection (and punters) expected a big run at Ayr when stepping up to 1m on soft going. It was a very disappointing effort. Nothing happened. There must have been an issue that day because it just couldn't be that bad. A return to the soft ground. You have to consider the trainer knows best. Dropping back in trip. I'd expect a much better run today.
Five Amarones 15/2 2nd
George Mallory 4/1 8th
Note: Five Amarones enjoyed the testing ground and put up a bold front-running performance. Beaten by a better horse in second place. George Mallory was well backed but showed nothing. There must be a problem with this horse because the first run showed real promise. The only other reason may be looking at nursery races. Be interesting to see if this big horse shines at some point.
5:40 Kempton -
Nivaldo won well on debut and given a Class 2 stakes entry. Has to defy a win penalty.
Just noticed I had missed this second division. Another one of our 10 Dark Horses going here for Saeed bin Suroor. Silent Hunter was a beaten favourite on debut when finishing a respectable fourth. Should go well today and holds each-way claims.
Nivaldo 13/8 1st
Silent Hunter 5/2 2nd
Note: Nivaldo ran well under a win penalty. Cruised clear but was being caught near the line although eased to a fair win. Silent Hunter is clearly a decent horse and will be winning soon. Drifted to 5/1 on the exchanges and I had an each-way bet. Seemed to hang when in the straight and took an age to gather his pace before finishing with spirit.
A quiet start to proceedings with just one two-year-old race on the cards.
4:30 Kempton -
Al Mureib is feeling like hard work for punters as he is yet to get his head in front in five starts. This Irish-bred son of Dubawi is a fair juvenile who has achieved an official rating of 84. That is plenty good enough to win most Stakes races but unfortunately, there has always been one or two opponents to deny this March foal. A beaten favourite on three starts. Only fifth last time out when competing at nursery class for the first time but just over three lengths. Just one of eleven two-year-old to be given a significant entry for Saeed bin Suroor. Bar a couple of horses this looks a weak affair. If touching each-way prices has claims. A wide draw isn't ideal if pushed wide. Always fearful that a horse with a few hard races may regress at some point.
Stan Moore has had a lean year with his two-year-olds. A minimal number of runners and very limited. Delta Bravo was given a Class 2 stakes race entry which suggests connections held some hope of ability. A 66/1 shot on both starts to date, the debut in a hot Stakes race (Class 2). The winner, Fashion's Star, is a bright talent, while others have franked the form. This bay filly showed little when stepping up in trip to race over 1m 2f at Bath. It is unlikely, but not impossible, this daughter of Mastercraftsman has an element of hope at huge odds. The debut effort (more entry) gives a hint of ability, while the trip at Bath may have been too much. Also, horses can disappoint on their first and second start. I wouldn't hold my breath, but when a horse will be price 200/1 on Betfair (perhaps) there may be some argument for a speculative each-way bet. A low draw is a positive. Not been seen for a month. On balance, a mountain to climb. (Taking another look, needs a miracle).
Al Mureib 7/4 2nd
Delta Bravo 66/1 7th
Note: Al Mureib may have been slightly inconvenienced by the wide draw and forcing him to lead. Didn't do too much wrong but a frustrating horse finishing in second place. Delta Bravo is limited and will be given a low mark for nursery races.
Nothing much to report yesterday - with a non-runner (Battle Of Waterloo).
12:15 Newmarket -
Soft going.
Quite a few debutantes here. Material Girl has valuable race experience with three fair efforts. Richard Spencer is a talented trainer who does well with a limited number of two-year-olds. This bay daughter of Pivotal cost £52,000 at the yearling sales. Ran respectably over course and distance on debut when relatively fancied in the betting. Although placed fifth was beaten three lengths. Didn't do much wrong second start when third. The form of the Kempton race, last time out, has been franked. A relatively wide draw and running wide made life hard. An official rating of 72 sets an average parameter. Has claims but may be vulnerable to a decent horse.
Material Girl 20/1 2nd
Note: The favourite won easily but Material Girl went pretty well at big odds to take second place.
12:50 Newmarket -
Imperial Charm has been knocking on the door. This bay filly is a daughter of Dubawi. Simon Crisford is a fine trainer who knows his horses and this April foal ran a sterling race on debut when placed third but beaten just half a length. She returned over course and distance. Punters may have been disappointed that the 6/4f finished someway down the field in third place. In truth, she bumped into a couple of live talents in Sunday Star (Ed Walker) & Maqsad (William Haggas). Definitely one of the better two-year-olds in the stable. Always a slight concern about the testing ground but if not inconvenienced has strong claims.
Imperial Charm 11/10 1st
Note: Easy victory for Imperial Charm who has a decent level of ability.
4:30 Newcastle -
Another Richard Spencer two-year-old. You Never Can Tell is a decent juvenile illustrated by an official rating of 94. A winning debut. Far from a disgraced second start at Listed class when fourth beaten the same number of lengths. Two attempts at Group class saw this son of Elzaam finish last of seven and eight. This is a marked drop in class. Looking at the betting we see pretty prohibitive odds at 1/4f. Has to shoulder a win penalty. Also, you have to be careful that he hasn't regressed. In truth, this should be an opportunity to pick up some easy prize money.
You Never Can Tell 1/2f
Note: You Never Can Tell had been dropped in class and won well at odds-on.
Well, we saw a really smart debut from Headman on Thursday. Roger Charlton has a few exciting prospects for next year and this horse and Fashion's Star were both identified by Group Horse before they set hoof on track. I know what some of you are saying: ''Well how many horses have been noted for Charlton all season?'' Just four!
The other two being Momkin and Catan who have both won and classy, too.
If you struggle to find valuable information that actually helps you to beat the bookies then the answer my friends is here.
Enough chewing the cud.
12:30 Newmarket -
*Battle Of Waterloo is the only significant entry here. John Ryan's gelding was a huge price on debut. I thought he showed a little bit of promise before dropping out of contention in a stiff race. He was exceptionally well backed next start at Yarmouth. I wasn't sure what was going in that day! Apprentice, Cieren Fallon, was on board. There is little doubt the horse ran much too keenly. I'm not sure if the jockey meant to go a crazy pace or the horse simply took off. Battle Of Waterloo was leading one moment and tailed off the next. Perhaps connections fancied their chance and it all went wrong. The only point of interest today is that this son of Big Bad Bob is 33/1. It is probably a bonus that Tom Queally is perched on top. In truth, you wouldn't hold your breath that anything much is going to happen. However, we should, hopefully, see what this gelding can do (if he's not too keen).
*NR
