Thursday, 16 August 2018

A Warm Welcome

Just a quick note for those finding there way here from our recent mailing. Group Horse Daily is updated on a daily basis so it is worth a visit to take note of the latest news. 

To help familiarise you with the layout and pages of note, here is a quick rundown. 

Today's Notes: 

Generally, I have been simply detailing the significantly entered juveniles which means these are not tips. However, with an influx of new readers, I will be detailing the most noted juveniles for the rest of the season. This will help you appreciate the worth of this information. It takes hundreds of hours to detail this info.

2YO Races:

Every two-year-old race can be viewed if you have a Sky Bet account or subscriber to the Racing Post. I'm not hooked up to any affiliate scheme or whatever so I'm not trying to sell anything. Even without an account/subscription you can still see the race results for every 2yo race from the start of the season up until the Flat turf season ends. Click this link to see what I am talking about

Group 2018:

This page details all the significant entries for horse trainers big and small. This info is updated on a daily basis and reveals the best two-year-old horses in each stable. Horses identified with an asterisk (* Kadar, trained by Karl Burke) before their name are debutantes. As a general rule, the horses with the most entries are the best. However, this varies for each trainer. Click this link to see the page

Significant Entries:

Want to know what all those numbers mean (Example: Kadar NSG, Y, 30) then Click this link to see the significant entries page.

In truth, this is a very easy format to find lots of very good info, which most punters do not know. Over the next few weeks we will be adding a lot more talented horses, so you have free access at the right time. 

** This website is free until the end of the Flat turf season 2018. Beyond that point it will revert back to subscription at £499 per annum. 

Thanks for your interest. 

Monday, 13 August 2018

Monday's 2YO Update

Phoenix Thoroughbred Ltd - Mistress Of Love
A few two-year-old races for Monday. 

1:35 Ayr - 

Mistress Of Love is interesting for Karl Burke. Spigot Lodge must be pleased to have a few talented juveniles under the ownership of Phoenix Thoroughbred Ltd. You may remember that Kadar (one of our 10 Dark Horses) was meant to run over the weekend but was withdrawn under a vet's certificate. Mistress Of Love is an American-bred daughter of Scat Daddy costing $1000,000. These owners don't lack in money and I would be very surprised if this juvenile doesn't win. She has an entry at the Curragh for the Debutante Stakes (Group 2) over 7f. 

1:50 Ripon - 

Richard Fahey's Good Tyne Girl holds claims here. 

7:40 Wolverhampton - 

Richard Hannon has It's The Only Way going here. This Irish-bred son of Lilbourne Lad won his first two starts and carries a big weight which connections try to take the edge off with a 7lb apprentice. Not sure if I would jump in at short odds because these win penalties seem hard to defy. To be fair the opposition doesn't look much. *Wolf Hunter was given a significant entry early season but it looked to be next to worthless. He isn't the worst horse ever but been contesting at plating class and official rating of just 63. 

* NR

Sunday, 12 August 2018

Sunday's 2YO Update

China Horse Club - Red Armada
2:00 Leicester - 

An EBF Novice Stakes over 7f on good to firm going. 

Fume, a son of Frankel, was fancied on debut but showed little. Second start wasn't much better. Ralph Beckett is trying the tongue tie to garner improvement. Priced 16/1, it seems unlikely this colt will be heading toward the Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2). The only two-year-old in the stable to receive such an entry. Has a lot to prove and would have needed to have disappointed on both starts. Stepping up to 7f may help. 

Clive Cox has a few decent juveniles in his string. This may indicate that Red Armada has a fighting chance. This son of Invincible Spirit cost 120,000 euros at the yearling sales. Cox does well at Leicester. This April foal has received a Mill Reef (Group 2), which gives confidence. The stable debutantes go well at 13/2 & less SP. If strongly backed it would increase chances. 

Conclusion: Red Armada is interesting and worthy of respect. 

Saturday, 11 August 2018

Saturday's 2YO Update

Dr Johnny Hon
Just the one race of interest:

6:15 Lingfield - 

An EBF Novice Stakes over 7 1/2f  on good going.  Nine two-year-olds take part. All have race experience. 

A couple of these are worth a second glance. Global Warning is one of the best juveniles in the stable. This bay colt is a son of Poet's Voice out of a twice-winning mare. This April foal wasn't fancied on debut at 25/1 but showed promise. Gerald Mosse is retained by Dr Johnny Hon. Global Warning cost 155,000 guineas at the yearling sales. The form of that debut has worked out pretty well. However, I suspect this colt will improve significantly for his racecourse bow. Whether you want to take short odds is another matter. The tissue price details 11/10f. I wouldn't knock the chance of this horse because I think he is very likely to prevail. 

The other horse of interest is David Simcock's *Wiretrap. This son of Charm Spirit has been gelded since his first start at Great Yarmouth. I'm pretty sure the stable expected this bay to go well. There was good money for this horse, who adorned the second colours that day for Qatar Racing Ltd. That was the race John Gosden sent out Legends Of War who won impressively. That juvenile has proven to be Group class. A very expensive breeze-up purchase at 900,000 guineas. 

Wiretrap didn't achieve anything on debut. A slow start put pay to any real hope. However, his attitude looks a touch suspect and no doubt the gelding operation has been taken with hope of improvement.

This step up in distance may help. The 81- day absence may be a positive or a negative. The betting will most likely tell the story. If priced 13/2 & less SP this gelding has very good win and place claims. If outside this betting guide it would most likely be a negative. 

Conclusion: I would let the betting settle before getting involved. It could well tell the story for Wiretrap. In truth, Global Warning looks a tough horse to beat. The stable rate this colt and should go well. If Wiretrap is in the best betting guide, he has very good claims and may be a threat. If considering betting each way you may be wise to bet a point on these two as a stronger bet. 


Friday, 10 August 2018

Friday's 2YO Update - 10 Dark Horses

Phoenix Thoroughbred Ltd
A lot of two-year-old race and a few horses which are worthy of note. 

I think we have three which feature on our 10 Dark Horse mailing. You will notice a few other significantly entered horses are running. I will simply detail the races of most interest. I will do my best to point you in the right direction. These are general pointers being so in advance of the race. When I bet, I use information right up to the race. Whether you wish to use this information to bet or not is your decision. 

5:25 Newmarket - 

A few of these are noted by trainers as talents. Andrew Balding's Firelight is a decent filly although I am always slightly fearful of horses shouldering a win penalty. Interesting to consider the chances of Michael Bell's Lady Aria. This daughter of Kodiac is considered quite favourably. Bell's best debutantes are usually well found in the betting but he does have a few that win at big odds. This filly is priced 14/1. Looks a pretty tough race in many respects but a horse who could make into a decent juvenile. 

6:15 Haydock - 

We have one of our 10 Dark Horses running here. *Kadar, trained by Karl Burke, is certainly worthy of note and with eight horses could well prove a fair bet for each-way backers. This son of Scat Daddy is in the ownership of Phoenix Thoroughbred Ltd and 700,000 euro breeze-up purchase. This juvenile is definitely one of the best in Spigot Lodge. There is always a fear that debutantes will disappoint due to inexperience, lack of fitness or trainer unwilling to give their best prospects a hard race. However, this February foal is very interesting. John Gosden's Beatboxer is well respected in the yard and won in tidy fashion on debut. That experience is worth a lot from a horse which has proven ability. Once again, defying a win penalty is no easy task against decent opposition. 


6:35 Newmarket - 

Another two-year-old on our 10 Dark Horse list. Albert Finney is relatively fancied in the betting over this 7f trip. This home bred son of Kingman is owned by Rachel Hood. The stable debutantes often go well when priced 13/2 & less SP. They often go significantly well when priced 5/2 & less SP. A few of their debutantes disappoint. That is always the trouble with betting horses making their racecourse bow. Just about every trainer has better statistics with fancied two-year-olds on their second start. It's a fact. Still, an interesting juvenile if fancied in the market. Andrew Balding's Bye Bye Hong Kong could well be a danger and a horse worth following if not winning today. Their two-year-olds are often very good bets second start. This American-bred colt is a son of Street Sense and cost 575,000 guineas in the ownership of King Power Racing Co Ltd. You can pretty much guarantee this horse has ability. Strangely, the majority of Balding's debut winners are priced 7/1 & less SP. 

6:50 Haydock - 

Another of our 10 Dark Horses taking part in this 7f event. Commanding Officer is priced 14/1. This son of Poet's Voice wasn't overly fancied on debut when priced 10/1 and finished fourth beaten a good few lengths.He took at keen hold at York and should be more settled on this second start. It wouldn't surprise me if this colt is backed, so it could be a good move to bet early. Once again, there are a few talents in opposition such as *Motafaawit who has run well on two starts to date for Richard Hannon. A win penalty is a test at short odds, even for a talented juvenile.  


Most interesting:

6:15 Haydock - Kadar
6:35 Newmarket - Albert Finney, Bye Bye Hong Kong
6:50 Haydock - Commanding Officer

Good luck. 

Thursday, 9 August 2018

Too Darn Hot Makes Taking Debut

The first of our 10 Dark Horses wins by seven lengths. 

The 6:35 Sandown - Slug And Lettuce 2-4-1 Tanqueray Thursday EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f on good to soft going, was turned into a procession with a masterful display. 

Too Darn Hot delivered an impressive turn of foot when making his debut this evening justifying favouritism at 8/11f. 

Frankie Dettori took the ride on this well-bred son of Dubawi, who is out of the exceptional mare Dar Re Mi (pictured). She won at the highest level for Lord Lloyd-Webber, winning over £2 Million in total prize earnings. 

Similarly trained by John Gosden, Group Horse had our eye on this attractive bay colt who holds a Champagne Stakes (Group 2) entry. 

Too Darn Hot was given a sublime ride by Dettori, challenging the early leader, Fraser Island, who was quickly brushed aside. Looking a touch inexperienced, he forged clear to win by many lengths. 

An exciting prospect.

See the full result here.  

Wednesday, 8 August 2018

Thursday's 2YO Update

A quick update of the significantly entered juveniles.  

2:40 Haydock - 

Just the one entrant here being Richard Hannon's Moyassar. This chestnut son of Tamayuz  ran well on his first two starts, losing narrowly. However, he won with ease when dropping back in distance at Chelmsford at 4/9f. A win penalty makes life more difficult. His major rival has a penalty too so it will be an intriguing battle. 

6:05 Sandown - 

Charles Hills fields Mutawaffer who has been well entered and nice winner second start before disappointing at Royal Ascot. Leading chance. 

6:35 Sandown - 

John Gosden has a few decent types in his yard and Too Darn Hot should take some stopping over this mile trip. Frankie Dettori in the saddle. This son of Dubawi is exceptionally well bred being out of the super talented mare Dar Re Mi who won six of her seventeen races and over £2 Million in prize earnings. Winner of the Prix Minerve (2009), Pretty Polly Stakes (2009), Yorkshire Oaks (2009) & Dubai Sheema Classic (2010).  Too Darn Hot has received an entry for the Champagne Stakes (Group 2) in the ownership of Lord Lloyd-Webber. Looks a potentially star juvenile who will come into his own at three. 

Monday, 6 August 2018

2:00 Ripon Racing Tips (6th August)

Guy Reed Racing
Twelve two-year-olds take part in this Fillies' Novice Stakes over 6f on good going. 

Just the one horse with a significant entry being Kevin Ryan's Dame Gladys. This British-bred daughter of Mukhadram adorns the familiar silks of Guy Reed Racing. She ran well on debut when finishing second at odds of 14/1. Then battled well to win by a short head at Nottingham against a fair sort. She was earmarked for the Hilary Needler Trophy but hasn't been seen since May. Ryan had her ready to run on the 9th June actually to contest the Hilary Needler but she refused to enter the stalls. May be something to consider if betting today. A small win penalty makes life a little hard but this step up in distance should be to her advantage. Interesting to see how she goes at odds of 4/1. 

Saturday, 4 August 2018

Saturday's Racing Tips (4th August)

Group Horse Racing
It has been an extremely busy week. Rather than detailing each and every entered juvenile I will highlight what I consider to be the better types and chances. All the information is here so it isn't difficult to find everything. As the saying goes: Seek and you will find!

1:10 Chelmsford - 

Micheal Appleby doesn't have the largest string of two-year-olds and few have much ability (although he has had a few). Aquarius is a fair sort, who won well on debut at Newmarket when 25/1 shot. Connections must have ben very upset when she reared and pretty much refused to race in the Princess Margaret Keeneland Stakes (Group 3). Interesting to see how this daughter of the Irish-bred Charm Spirit goes this third start. No bad habits, I hope. 

1:45 Thirsk - 

Kevin Ryan has Three Card Trick trying to make this third time lucky. This chestnut colt, a son of Piccolo, has run to fine races. He meets Bartie Hall, who beat him last time out, although better off in the weights as Michael Dods' filly has a winner's penalty. Three Card Trick holds a Gimcrack Stakes (group 2) entry. Racing in the familiar silks of Guy Reed Racing.

2:55 Doncaster - 

Boitron won very well on debut for Richard Hannon and Middleham Park Racing Ltd. This bay colt has received a couple of significant entries and has to defy a win penalty but priced to do so. 

8:05 Lingfield - 

The Paddocks has to carry a winner's penalty but a well entered juveniles for Richard Hannon. Won narrowly on debut, outclassed at Royal Ascot, disappointed at Newbury and showed more last time out when runner-up to a fair horse. 

Tuesday, 31 July 2018

Tuesday's Racing Tips (31st July)

Mark Johnston
Not a great deal of time so a quick look at Tuesday's significantly entered two-year-olds. 

2:05 Beverley - 

Mark Johnston has a number of talented juveniles in his string and Arctic Sound is worthy of note. This bay colt is a son of Poet's Voice. Fancied on both starts to date, he finished an admirable second on debut at Haydock and then justified joint favouritism when heading to Sandown. He has been entered for a Listed race , which is a measure of this March foal. A winner's penalty makes life tougher but if talented enough to take on higher class should go well.  

Monday, 30 July 2018

Monday's 2YO Racing Update

Saeed Manana
A few races today. 

Here's a quick rundown. 

1:20 Lingfield - 

No Way Jose is one of few horses Brian Meehan has entered this season. Ran well on both starts and unlucky last time out when stuck behind horses. A recent Lowther Stakes (Group 2) entry adds to confidence. Well drawn.

Charlie Fellows has been relatively quiet this two-year-old season. His two talents are both owned by Highclere Thoroughbreds Racing. Readers may remember Snazzy who has been highly tried after winning well on debut. Sibirica was fancied on debut but disappointed. There was an issue that day. I had my eye on this filly because she was entered for the Hilary Needler but didn't take that route. This daughter of Exceed And Excel was well backed last time out from 50/1 - 20/1. She contested the race finishing behind No Way Jose. This chestnut filly ran on with purpose at Newmarket. Interesting how she copes with this turning course. Perhaps a step up in distance may help. It is possible she will progress from that last start and could show more. 

1:30 Ayr - 

*Magical Wish was placed very well on debut by Richard Hannon. In fact, I suspect connections were very surprised he didn't take the spoils although doing little wrong defeated by short head. Second start saw the other side of the coin when winning by a nose. A win penalty makes live more difficult. the apprentice takes off a valuable 3lb. 

* NR

5:10 Wolverhampton - 

A nursery race. Just the one horse entered being Wolf Hunter. Richard Hughes' charge has shown glimmers of ability even racing at selling class. The hood is fitted for the first time. A 64 rating is pretty low detailing a horse of plating class. Not the easiest of races to assess. 

5:45 Wolverhampton - 

Rockin Roy has been a consistent type. A couple of wins, placed twice and a creditable performance at Royal Ascot when contending the Windsor Castle Listed race. A win penalty will make life harder but the type of horse to hold every chance at 2/5f. 

Robert Cowell's So Hi Speed ran well second start and even traveled to France when behind winning stablemate Pocket Dynamo. This American-bred son of Central Banker disappointed at Chepstow. Interesting to consider if there was an issue that day because it seemed a dismal effort. There is a chance he has regressed. This turning 5f may well suit. He showed good pace on the all-weather at Chelmsford. Has something to prove. The visor has been applied most likely to bring improvement.

6:05 Windsor - 

Across The Sea is interesting. She has been fancied on both starts to date. James Tate doesn't have too many entered juveniles and this daughter of Dubawi looked to have a great chance of winning at Kempton. She looked to hold every hope but tired quickly in the final furlong. She was keen that day and that definitely took its toll. This drop back to the minimum trip may be a good move. Interesting to see if she has enough pace to sit in a handy position. 

6:40 Windsor - 

John Gosden has Kessar running here. Ran well on debut at York when narrowly beaten. Disappointed when dropping in distance at Royal Ascot. The hood has been applied for the first time. Should enjoy this easier task.