The Exception to the Rule


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Thursday, 13 December 2018

Thursday's 2YO Update (13th December)

Qatar Racing Ltd
Just the one race and significant entry going today. 

5:45 Chelmsford - 

A big, old field of fifteen two-year-olds. 

Charlie Hills has had a decent season with his juveniles. I think he has around 19 horses receive significant entries. One of those is New Queen, who was given a Listed race entry and, by all accounts, disappointed at that grade when competing at on her start at Newmarket. This Irish-bred daughter of Charm Spirit races in the silks of Qatar Racing Ltd. The mare, Air Biscuit, won three times when trained by Chris Wall, although a limited horse she did conclude her racing at Listed class (beaten a long way). 

New Queen has raced 7 times. She went well on debut at Bath when runner-up to the smart Signora Cabello. However, beaten at 4/9f second start when little went right for punters. In general, she is a consistent horse who has run well twice on the all-weather (Kempton). 

Interesting to see how she gets on returning after 40-days. A wide draw isn't ideal on a turning course. 

Wednesday, 12 December 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Updates (12th December)

Phoenix Thoroughbreds Limited
A few quiet days. Let's take a look at the significant entrants racing today. 

4:45 Kempton - 

Interesting to see Ed Vaughan fields a potentially smart two-year-old racing over this trip of one mile. Al Batter is a bay colt and son of Dubawi out of a four-times winning mare, Giofra, whose last nine starts were at Group/Grade 1. Her greatest success is the Falmouth Stakes (Group 1) at Newmarket. A very talented horse. Al Batter cost a fortune at the yearling sales at 1,550,000 euros. He races in the familiar silks of Phoenix Thoroughbreds Limited. Readers may remember the stable done well this season with Dubai Dominion and Magic J. 

This is just one of three horses to receive significant entries for Ed Vaughan. The other horse, which is yet to race, is called Ginger Wolverine.  A horse worth noting as we are confident it will be a winner. 

Al Batter is pretty well drawn in stall three. Priced 8/1 with bookmakers. It is always difficult to assess the chances of debutantes because they are often a law unto themselves. However, it is often the case they have ability if priced 10/1 & less SP. Especially so when priced 13/2 & less SP.  

Worth of respect. 

Al Batter 10/1 6th 

Note: Looked inexperience but ran a race full of promise. Unfortunately not placed which is a shame. On reviewing the race, Al Batter wasn't helped at all by nearly running into the back of the favourite who seemed to back peddle for some reason. Vaughan's horse pulled off heels and lost a number of lengths and most importantly its position. Annoying turn of events considering it ran on well in the closing furlong. 
   

Tuesday, 4 December 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update (5th December)

A few quiet days - but back with a significant entry. 

3:55 Kempton - 

James Town is one of Hugo Palmer's best juveniles in the stable. This son of Gale Force Ten wasn't overly fancied on debut when beaten by a neck. Then followed up with two wins before stepping up to Group 3 and disappointing finishing last. A recent wind operation may be an answer to a problem, although there didn't seem to be an issue on those first three starts. A welterweight of 10-2 means this colt will have to be a pretty classy juvenile. Not sure if I would jump in at relatively short odds but a horse which deserves respect. 

James Town 7/2 1st 

Note: A nice performance from James Town returning after a lengthy absence and carrying over a stone more than opponents. 

Wednesday, 28 November 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update (28th November)

A quiet couple of days. Heading back home from West Palm Beach, Florida. Will get home about 1pm on Thursday. I will post this early as a freebie. If you like the info then give us a shout via social media. As they say, in giving we receive.  

2:15 Wolverhampton - 

Interesting to see just one significant entrant racing here in the shape of Charlie Appleby's Ophelia's Dream. This homebred daughter of Dubawi is out of a talented mare (Hibaayeb) who ran fifteen times, winning on four occasions, and placed six times. A horse that won the Fillies' Mile at two (group 1), when trained by Clive Brittain. In fact, such a quality filly that all her four wins came at pattern class. She achieved the highest official rating of 114 and total prize earnings of £402,638. 

A prime draw in stall one, if starting on terms. A potentially smart filly who deserves respect on her debut. 

Ophelia's Dream 7/2 Unp 

Note: A slow start and inexperienced. A disappointing effort. Be interesting to see if this filly livens up next start. 

Friday, 23 November 2018

Friday's 2YO Update (23rd November)

Let's have a quick look at today's significant entrants. 

5:45 Kempton - 

Rae Guest is known as a good trainer of fillies. Dupioni won well on debut when landing a touch - backed from 33-1 - 16/1. This chestnut filly, a daughter of Siyouni, was relatively fancied next start when stepping up to Listed class but finished last of seven. I doubt she would have won that day but nothing much went right and then badly hampered in the closing stage put pay to any hope. Has to shoulder a win penalty which means she needs to be a decent horse to do so. 

The only significant entry on the day. 

Dupioni 4/1 4th 

Note: Ran a professional race in fourth but struggled in closing stages to shoulder the win penalty. 


Wednesday, 21 November 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update (21st November)

Roger Charlton, Headman (2yo)
A busy day, so I will try to keep this brief. 

5:10 Kempton - 

Roger Charlton's Headman makes a return after a stylish victory on debut. This son of Kingman ran out an easy winner at Newcastle over one mile. Drops back a furlong today and has to give away seven pounds in weight. The penalties can be hard work for the best of horses. A wide draw is another negative to be considered. However, if connections have lofty dreams, they will most surely be expecting a win. 

Headman 4/9f 2nd 

Note: Time may tell Headman was beaten by a talent. It is never easy to defy these win penalties and, perhaps, unlucky to bump into another good juvenile. 

The only significantly-entered two-year-old on the day. 

I will post this now, as I don't think you will be missing too much. 

Just noticed this entrant, too (thanks, Craig).

5:40 Kempton - 

Global Spectrum. Difficult to know what to think about Gay Kelleway's debutante as most of her two-year-olds have been limited this season. This bay colt is well bred, well owned and cost 130,000 guineas at the breeze-up sales. A wide draw isn't ideal. The main interest is the price. Bookies have this horse at 22/1. It may be the case it drifts out to 50/1. Conversely, it may be backed. I will have a small each-way bet if touching huge odds on the exchanges and cross my fingers. 

Global Spectrum 16/1 1st

Note: What do we keep saying...another easy winner at huge odds. Touched 25 on the exchanges. Remember Group Horse details horses of the highest standard that win. 

Full result: Global Spectrum WINS!!!!!!!!!

All readers should thank Craig for this because I had missed it and it wouldn't have been on this page but I only added it as I had detailed Headman because it was odds-on. 

Monday, 19 November 2018

Monday's 2YO Update (19th November)

Just the one race today. 


Middleham Park Racing
I quite enjoy quiet days. 

4:00 Kempton - 

A Fillies' Novice Auction Stakes over 6f on Standard to slow going. Eleven juveniles take part in this restricted race (for horses costing £33,000 or less for yearlings bought at public sale). These races are often a very good betting medium because most punters forget their restrictive nature especially telling when a form horse against a few debutantes. 

Let's see which horse has a significant entry.

Just the sole candidate being Richard Hannon's Wedding Date. A good yearling purchase at £27,000. This Irish-bred daughter of Dandy Man has raced seven times. She ran well on debut behind a talent in James Watt. Then at Chester, ran out an easy winner by three lengths. The next four starts saw her run at a higher class. In those races, bar one contest, this bay filly ran well in defeat. Last time out, dropping back to five furlongs, she was relatively unfancied in the betting. At points on the exchange, touch huge odds. Started 8/1. I was impressed with her effort in that race. A very professional display. I'm sure most punters were put off by the win penalty. Wedding Date was unlucky to get caught in the last few strides. The winner, Leodis Dream, is a fair horse and a head defeat was nothing to be fair (unless you bet, of course).  Clifford Lee takes the ride and gets a handy three pound off her back. Interesting that Wedding Date is stepping back up to six furlong. I'd prefer her to stay at five but I imagine connections are going here rather than wait for another opportunity. A wide draw is a negative, but this shouldn't be too much of a problem. If touching each-way prices, is a decent bet. 

Wedding Date 4/1 1st

Note: I quite liked this filly. Crazy betting on the exchanges sees her drift to 10 before being backed down. Some of these layers must have money to burn. Nice performance. 

Saturday, 17 November 2018

Saturday's 2YO Update (17th November)

King Power Racing Co Ltd (Andrew Balding)
A quick run through the significant entrants. (Post after the race).

12:15 Lingfield - 

Barys has raced four times for Archie Watson. This son of Kodiac has been fancied on all starts and not beaten that far when racing from 6f - 1m. A fourth in the Convivial Maiden Stakes when beaten less than two lengths a fine effort. Watson must be a look frustrated that this bay cold is still a maiden. The blinkers have been applied for the first time. Not the best of draws in stall eight.    

Barys 2/1 1st 

Note: A very easy success for Archie Watson's horse. Unchallenged.  

1:00 Lingfield - 

Humanitarian ran well on debut for John Gosden when runner-up to stablemate Kick On. This son of Noble Mission was priced 12/1 that day, most likely in need of the run and a fraction bigger price that should have by being second string. Will start odds-on for this race. 

Humanitarian 5/6f 1st

Note: Another easy winner by 5 lengths. 

6:45 Wolverhampton - 

Interesting to see how Magic Illusion goes on this third start. Charlie Appleby's charge has made hard work of winning so far. This well-bred son of Dubawi was priced even money to make a winning debut at Ascot. Finished second best. Then failed to shine when the jolly at Newmarket, stepping up to one mile. That was a pretty stiff race but it was still a somewhat disappointing effort. Connections are stepping up to nine and a bit furlongs, so time will tell if this works. This doesn't look the strongest field and valuable experience should help. 

Magic Illusion 1/2f 3rd

Note: Just plain disappointing and the gelding operation hasn't changed too much. Just not as good as connections thought.

7:15 Wolverhampton - 

Hello Bangkok goes here for Andrew Balding and the late owner of King Power Racing Co Ltd. Park House Stables have had a topsy-turvy year with their two-year-old with outsiders winning aplenty while favourites have come undone. This bay daughter of Tamayuz ran well on debut when narrowly denied by a talented horse in Shambolic. However, punters were left feeling all at sea when this 200,000 guinea-yearling purchase flopped next start at the even-money favourite. A shocking effort in fifth beaten over ten lengths. I would draw a line through that run as it was too bad to be true. Balding is dropping this horse in distance. Difficult to know if this is a good or bad idea. I generally consider that the trainer knows best. This filly is held in some regard and the team will be hoping for more today although from a far from an ideal draw. 

Hello Bangkok 2/1 4th

Note: Gives the impression that the trainer got it wrong. The distance must have been a furlong too short although time may tell it didn't make too much difference. On review, didn't have much go right and capable of better. No match for the winner but may have a win in her this season. 

Friday, 16 November 2018

Friday's 2YO Update (16th November)

The Cool Silk Partnership
Just to give people a freebie (because normally these posts are hidden until after the result) I will show one post every Friday, until the end of the year 2018.

Let's take a look at the significant horses going today. 

12:50 Lingfield - 

Difficult to know what to think about Orange Blossom. I have little doubt this chestnut filly has shown a high level of ability at home and reason why James Givens had her compete at pattern class. This daughter of Showcasing was dropped in class at Catterick last time out. Whether the soft(ish) ground didn't suit it is difficult to tell as it wasn't a particularly slow time. However, Orange Blossom was never travelling and ran pretty hopeless. She had the blinkers applied that day which have been removed. Were they the problem? It's a big question mark. Perhaps the all-weather surface will suit. At best, she has a leading chance but with a wide draw and so many unanswered questions you may be a brave soul to bet. I suspect, she will either win or be unplaced. Interested in seeing how this horse goes today because it is intriguing if not frustrating, too. 

Orange Blossom 9/2 5th 

Note: Another poor effort from Orange Blossom who has clearly regressed. Just shows how horses can go from talents to lesser lights all too quickly. 

7:45 Wolverhampton - 

James Park Wood is a decent two-year-old and well respected in the Beckett stable. This son of Australia was relatively fancied on debut but found himself in a very hot race (it was Group class). Stepping up to one mile second start, he did little wrong when losing by a head to a talented winner. Should go well although taking on a horse in Metatron who looked stunning on debut. Has to defy a win penalty. 

James Park Wood 1/1 6th 

Note: A disappointing effort. May have regressed.  

8:15 Wolverhampton - 

Readers may remember I noted Cadeau D'Amour because he was entered to run in the Brocklesby but wasn't seen until October! He didn't show any ability on debut and must have needed the run. However, there was a glimmer of hope next start at Nottingham when 66/1. It was a competitive enough race and this son of Camacho ran well in sixth, and given a relatively easy ride - pushed out hands and heels. There is always a fear that horses on their third start will be angled to nurseries. This factor may be a problem or not for this day. Isn't without a chance at 20/1 against a number of fancies who are racing for the first time. 

Cadeau D'Amour 33/1 7th 

Note: A big price and never really in contention. Looks like a nursery horse.  

Thursday, 15 November 2018

Thursday's 2YO Update(15th November)

This post has been detailed after the race as our free promotion has ended. For more information, contact jason@professionalgamblers.co.uk   

Let's take a look at the races. 

I will keep this brief as I'm busy working on other websites and updating information on Group Horse Daily. 

1:10 Southwell - 

Theatre Of War has won a race and well respected by connections. Like a few here, has to shoulder a win penalty. 

Another entrant, the only horse for Adrian Nicholls, is Xtara who makes a return after a long break of almost 100-days. 

Theatre Of War 11/4 2nd
Xtara 9/1 7th 

Note: Theatre Of War didn't do much wrong under a penalty. Couldn't hold the late charge of Gremoboy. Xtara ran as though needing the run after a long absence. 

5:15 Chelmsford - 

California Love is one of Richard Spencer's better juveniles. This chestnut filly won on her second start. She has raced a pattern class on her last three starts and been relatively outclassed. Has a win penalty to defy but clearly a talented daughter of Sole Power. 

Sirinapha hasn't achieved a great deal and unseated his jockey last time out. Has been given a Class 2 entry which may give a glimmer of hope but needs to show more. 

Calfornia Love 6/4f 1st
Sirinapha 25/1 7th 

Note: Dropped in class and easy success for California Love.  Sirinapha will be better in handicaps. 

6:45 Chelmsford - 

The best two-year-old in Gary Moore's stable, Clara Peeters has been a consistent juveniles racing in the familiar silks of Richard Green. Won on the second start after a respectable debut. Last time stepping up to Listed class where she finished fifth. Has the apprentice jockey, Nicole Currie, in the hot seat to take 3lb off the win penalty. 

Clara Peeters 6/1 5th

Note: Was held up at the back of the field and given a lot to do. Ran on well to finish 5th. Personally, I had a bet on Lady Lizzy who went well at huge odds on exchanges (17.5). Ran a great race. We don't just know about Group Horses - we know about everything when it comes to betting two-year-olds. 

  

Wednesday, 14 November 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update

These posts are published after the race as the free promotion has concluded. If you are interested in knowing the best horses in training then contact me via email at jason@professionalgmblers.co.uk 

Let's have a look at today's races. I will keep this brief as I can as not feeling a million per cent motivated at this very second. 

I wonder which horses have significant entries? I'm looking for the first time just to show readers how easy it is to do this yourself from the Group Horse 2018 trainer/horse lists. The 2019 Group Horse (Info) will be kept for the private members' page so it won't be on this site, either.  

Anyway, back to the millstone...

I will post this now as there are no candidates. 

Take a read from a new website we have just acquired called Sprinterstogo. It's all about sprint horses and we've just updated a couple of good reads:

Dayjur: The Horse Who Jumped Shadows 

Can You Remember Klute? (The World's Fastest Horse)