The Exception to the Rule


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Tuesday, 4 December 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update (5th December)

A few quiet days - but back with a significant entry. 

3:55 Kempton - 

James Town is one of Hugo Palmer's best juveniles in the stable. This son of Gale Force Ten wasn't overly fancied on debut when beaten by a neck. Then followed up with two wins before stepping up to Group 3 and disappointing finishing last. A recent wind operation may be an answer to a problem, although there didn't seem to be an issue on those first three starts. A welterweight of 10-2 means this colt will have to be a pretty classy juvenile. Not sure if I would jump in at relatively short odds but a horse which deserves respect. 

James Town 7/2 1st 

Note: A nice performance from James Town returning after a lengthy absence and carrying over a stone more than opponents. 

Wednesday, 28 November 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update (28th November)

A quiet couple of days. Heading back home from West Palm Beach, Florida. Will get home about 1pm on Thursday. I will post this early as a freebie. If you like the info then give us a shout via social media. As they say, in giving we receive.  

2:15 Wolverhampton - 

Interesting to see just one significant entrant racing here in the shape of Charlie Appleby's Ophelia's Dream. This homebred daughter of Dubawi is out of a talented mare (Hibaayeb) who ran fifteen times, winning on four occasions, and placed six times. A horse that won the Fillies' Mile at two (group 1), when trained by Clive Brittain. In fact, such a quality filly that all her four wins came at pattern class. She achieved the highest official rating of 114 and total prize earnings of £402,638. 

A prime draw in stall one, if starting on terms. A potentially smart filly who deserves respect on her debut. 

Ophelia's Dream 7/2 Unp 

Note: A slow start and inexperienced. A disappointing effort. Be interesting to see if this filly livens up next start. 

Friday, 23 November 2018

Friday's 2YO Update (23rd November)

Let's have a quick look at today's significant entrants. 

5:45 Kempton - 

Rae Guest is known as a good trainer of fillies. Dupioni won well on debut when landing a touch - backed from 33-1 - 16/1. This chestnut filly, a daughter of Siyouni, was relatively fancied next start when stepping up to Listed class but finished last of seven. I doubt she would have won that day but nothing much went right and then badly hampered in the closing stage put pay to any hope. Has to shoulder a win penalty which means she needs to be a decent horse to do so. 

The only significant entry on the day. 

Dupioni 4/1 4th 

Note: Ran a professional race in fourth but struggled in closing stages to shoulder the win penalty. 


Wednesday, 21 November 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update (21st November)

Roger Charlton, Headman (2yo)
A busy day, so I will try to keep this brief. 

5:10 Kempton - 

Roger Charlton's Headman makes a return after a stylish victory on debut. This son of Kingman ran out an easy winner at Newcastle over one mile. Drops back a furlong today and has to give away seven pounds in weight. The penalties can be hard work for the best of horses. A wide draw is another negative to be considered. However, if connections have lofty dreams, they will most surely be expecting a win. 

Headman 4/9f 2nd 

Note: Time may tell Headman was beaten by a talent. It is never easy to defy these win penalties and, perhaps, unlucky to bump into another good juvenile. 

The only significantly-entered two-year-old on the day. 

I will post this now, as I don't think you will be missing too much. 

Just noticed this entrant, too (thanks, Craig).

5:40 Kempton - 

Global Spectrum. Difficult to know what to think about Gay Kelleway's debutante as most of her two-year-olds have been limited this season. This bay colt is well bred, well owned and cost 130,000 guineas at the breeze-up sales. A wide draw isn't ideal. The main interest is the price. Bookies have this horse at 22/1. It may be the case it drifts out to 50/1. Conversely, it may be backed. I will have a small each-way bet if touching huge odds on the exchanges and cross my fingers. 

Global Spectrum 16/1 1st

Note: What do we keep saying...another easy winner at huge odds. Touched 25 on the exchanges. Remember Group Horse details horses of the highest standard that win. 

Full result: Global Spectrum WINS!!!!!!!!!

All readers should thank Craig for this because I had missed it and it wouldn't have been on this page but I only added it as I had detailed Headman because it was odds-on. 

Monday, 19 November 2018

Monday's 2YO Update (19th November)

Just the one race today. 


Middleham Park Racing
I quite enjoy quiet days. 

4:00 Kempton - 

A Fillies' Novice Auction Stakes over 6f on Standard to slow going. Eleven juveniles take part in this restricted race (for horses costing £33,000 or less for yearlings bought at public sale). These races are often a very good betting medium because most punters forget their restrictive nature especially telling when a form horse against a few debutantes. 

Let's see which horse has a significant entry.

Just the sole candidate being Richard Hannon's Wedding Date. A good yearling purchase at £27,000. This Irish-bred daughter of Dandy Man has raced seven times. She ran well on debut behind a talent in James Watt. Then at Chester, ran out an easy winner by three lengths. The next four starts saw her run at a higher class. In those races, bar one contest, this bay filly ran well in defeat. Last time out, dropping back to five furlongs, she was relatively unfancied in the betting. At points on the exchange, touch huge odds. Started 8/1. I was impressed with her effort in that race. A very professional display. I'm sure most punters were put off by the win penalty. Wedding Date was unlucky to get caught in the last few strides. The winner, Leodis Dream, is a fair horse and a head defeat was nothing to be fair (unless you bet, of course).  Clifford Lee takes the ride and gets a handy three pound off her back. Interesting that Wedding Date is stepping back up to six furlong. I'd prefer her to stay at five but I imagine connections are going here rather than wait for another opportunity. A wide draw is a negative, but this shouldn't be too much of a problem. If touching each-way prices, is a decent bet. 

Wedding Date 4/1 1st

Note: I quite liked this filly. Crazy betting on the exchanges sees her drift to 10 before being backed down. Some of these layers must have money to burn. Nice performance. 

Saturday, 17 November 2018

Saturday's 2YO Update (17th November)

King Power Racing Co Ltd (Andrew Balding)
A quick run through the significant entrants. (Post after the race).

12:15 Lingfield - 

Barys has raced four times for Archie Watson. This son of Kodiac has been fancied on all starts and not beaten that far when racing from 6f - 1m. A fourth in the Convivial Maiden Stakes when beaten less than two lengths a fine effort. Watson must be a look frustrated that this bay cold is still a maiden. The blinkers have been applied for the first time. Not the best of draws in stall eight.    

Barys 2/1 1st 

Note: A very easy success for Archie Watson's horse. Unchallenged.  

1:00 Lingfield - 

Humanitarian ran well on debut for John Gosden when runner-up to stablemate Kick On. This son of Noble Mission was priced 12/1 that day, most likely in need of the run and a fraction bigger price that should have by being second string. Will start odds-on for this race. 

Humanitarian 5/6f 1st

Note: Another easy winner by 5 lengths. 

6:45 Wolverhampton - 

Interesting to see how Magic Illusion goes on this third start. Charlie Appleby's charge has made hard work of winning so far. This well-bred son of Dubawi was priced even money to make a winning debut at Ascot. Finished second best. Then failed to shine when the jolly at Newmarket, stepping up to one mile. That was a pretty stiff race but it was still a somewhat disappointing effort. Connections are stepping up to nine and a bit furlongs, so time will tell if this works. This doesn't look the strongest field and valuable experience should help. 

Magic Illusion 1/2f 3rd

Note: Just plain disappointing and the gelding operation hasn't changed too much. Just not as good as connections thought.

7:15 Wolverhampton - 

Hello Bangkok goes here for Andrew Balding and the late owner of King Power Racing Co Ltd. Park House Stables have had a topsy-turvy year with their two-year-old with outsiders winning aplenty while favourites have come undone. This bay daughter of Tamayuz ran well on debut when narrowly denied by a talented horse in Shambolic. However, punters were left feeling all at sea when this 200,000 guinea-yearling purchase flopped next start at the even-money favourite. A shocking effort in fifth beaten over ten lengths. I would draw a line through that run as it was too bad to be true. Balding is dropping this horse in distance. Difficult to know if this is a good or bad idea. I generally consider that the trainer knows best. This filly is held in some regard and the team will be hoping for more today although from a far from an ideal draw. 

Hello Bangkok 2/1 4th

Note: Gives the impression that the trainer got it wrong. The distance must have been a furlong too short although time may tell it didn't make too much difference. On review, didn't have much go right and capable of better. No match for the winner but may have a win in her this season. 

Friday, 16 November 2018

Friday's 2YO Update (16th November)

The Cool Silk Partnership
Just to give people a freebie (because normally these posts are hidden until after the result) I will show one post every Friday, until the end of the year 2018.

Let's take a look at the significant horses going today. 

12:50 Lingfield - 

Difficult to know what to think about Orange Blossom. I have little doubt this chestnut filly has shown a high level of ability at home and reason why James Givens had her compete at pattern class. This daughter of Showcasing was dropped in class at Catterick last time out. Whether the soft(ish) ground didn't suit it is difficult to tell as it wasn't a particularly slow time. However, Orange Blossom was never travelling and ran pretty hopeless. She had the blinkers applied that day which have been removed. Were they the problem? It's a big question mark. Perhaps the all-weather surface will suit. At best, she has a leading chance but with a wide draw and so many unanswered questions you may be a brave soul to bet. I suspect, she will either win or be unplaced. Interested in seeing how this horse goes today because it is intriguing if not frustrating, too. 

Orange Blossom 9/2 5th 

Note: Another poor effort from Orange Blossom who has clearly regressed. Just shows how horses can go from talents to lesser lights all too quickly. 

7:45 Wolverhampton - 

James Park Wood is a decent two-year-old and well respected in the Beckett stable. This son of Australia was relatively fancied on debut but found himself in a very hot race (it was Group class). Stepping up to one mile second start, he did little wrong when losing by a head to a talented winner. Should go well although taking on a horse in Metatron who looked stunning on debut. Has to defy a win penalty. 

James Park Wood 1/1 6th 

Note: A disappointing effort. May have regressed.  

8:15 Wolverhampton - 

Readers may remember I noted Cadeau D'Amour because he was entered to run in the Brocklesby but wasn't seen until October! He didn't show any ability on debut and must have needed the run. However, there was a glimmer of hope next start at Nottingham when 66/1. It was a competitive enough race and this son of Camacho ran well in sixth, and given a relatively easy ride - pushed out hands and heels. There is always a fear that horses on their third start will be angled to nurseries. This factor may be a problem or not for this day. Isn't without a chance at 20/1 against a number of fancies who are racing for the first time. 

Cadeau D'Amour 33/1 7th 

Note: A big price and never really in contention. Looks like a nursery horse.  

Thursday, 15 November 2018

Thursday's 2YO Update(15th November)

This post has been detailed after the race as our free promotion has ended. For more information, contact jason@professionalgamblers.co.uk   

Let's take a look at the races. 

I will keep this brief as I'm busy working on other websites and updating information on Group Horse Daily. 

1:10 Southwell - 

Theatre Of War has won a race and well respected by connections. Like a few here, has to shoulder a win penalty. 

Another entrant, the only horse for Adrian Nicholls, is Xtara who makes a return after a long break of almost 100-days. 

Theatre Of War 11/4 2nd
Xtara 9/1 7th 

Note: Theatre Of War didn't do much wrong under a penalty. Couldn't hold the late charge of Gremoboy. Xtara ran as though needing the run after a long absence. 

5:15 Chelmsford - 

California Love is one of Richard Spencer's better juveniles. This chestnut filly won on her second start. She has raced a pattern class on her last three starts and been relatively outclassed. Has a win penalty to defy but clearly a talented daughter of Sole Power. 

Sirinapha hasn't achieved a great deal and unseated his jockey last time out. Has been given a Class 2 entry which may give a glimmer of hope but needs to show more. 

Calfornia Love 6/4f 1st
Sirinapha 25/1 7th 

Note: Dropped in class and easy success for California Love.  Sirinapha will be better in handicaps. 

6:45 Chelmsford - 

The best two-year-old in Gary Moore's stable, Clara Peeters has been a consistent juveniles racing in the familiar silks of Richard Green. Won on the second start after a respectable debut. Last time stepping up to Listed class where she finished fifth. Has the apprentice jockey, Nicole Currie, in the hot seat to take 3lb off the win penalty. 

Clara Peeters 6/1 5th

Note: Was held up at the back of the field and given a lot to do. Ran on well to finish 5th. Personally, I had a bet on Lady Lizzy who went well at huge odds on exchanges (17.5). Ran a great race. We don't just know about Group Horses - we know about everything when it comes to betting two-year-olds. 

  

Wednesday, 14 November 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update

These posts are published after the race as the free promotion has concluded. If you are interested in knowing the best horses in training then contact me via email at jason@professionalgmblers.co.uk 

Let's have a look at today's races. I will keep this brief as I can as not feeling a million per cent motivated at this very second. 

I wonder which horses have significant entries? I'm looking for the first time just to show readers how easy it is to do this yourself from the Group Horse 2018 trainer/horse lists. The 2019 Group Horse (Info) will be kept for the private members' page so it won't be on this site, either.  

Anyway, back to the millstone...

I will post this now as there are no candidates. 

Take a read from a new website we have just acquired called Sprinterstogo. It's all about sprint horses and we've just updated a couple of good reads:

Dayjur: The Horse Who Jumped Shadows 

Can You Remember Klute? (The World's Fastest Horse) 

Tuesday, 13 November 2018

Tuesday's 2YO Racing Updates (13th November)

Posted - retrospectively (please detail your interest to jason@professionalgamblers.co.uk if you wish to know more...)

4:15 Chelmsford - 

6f £20 Free Bets At totesport.com Novice Stakes (Class 5) (2yo)

Going: Standard 

Runners: 10 

Just two horse with significant entries: Brandy Spirt & Fares Kodiac. 

Brandy Spirit was dropped in the deep end when competing at Class 2 on debut when making his debut at Newcastle over 6f. This gelding is a son of Charm Spirit went off a 33-1 shot after a few piranhas nibbled it back from 50-1. On the face of it, Brandy Spirit had a mountain to climb. His saving grace may have been that he wasn't burdened by the win penalty like Fares Kodiac who was just a half-length behind. Mick Easterby's charge was a little slow from the stalls but soon made stylish headway and unlucky in the sense of being short of room. However, he showed gritty determination to run on for a deserved third place. That first effort detailed a horse of some ability. There should be ample improvement. As with all bets, whether you want to jump in at odds of 1/1f is another matter. 

Fares Kodiac is definitely one of the best two-year-olds in Marco Botti's stable. This March foal has been entered for a Listed race. He won by a breath on debut and then raced at higher class on both second and third start. As mentioned, he was just half a length behind Brandy Spirit last time out. There is a chance he will appreciate this turning course rather than the straight they met last start. 

Conclusion: This looks out of the two favourites (no surprise) but neither horse offers much value. If they got stuck into one, or the third favourite is backed, it may make a better opportunity.  

Fares Kodia 9/4f 1st 
Brandy Spirit 9/4f 2nd

Note: A nice performance from Fares Kodiac who won under a penalty. I was correct in thinking this turning course would suit more than it would for Brandy Spirit, who was off the pace and run on with purpose. 


Saturday, 10 November 2018

Saturday's 2YO Update (10th November)

Yes, I know that is an American race horse
Every good thing comes to an end and this is the final day of the Group Horse Daily Promotion. Future posts will be retrospective (i.e written about what happened). Hope you have enjoyed the experience. 

Let's take a look at today's race action.

12:20 Doncaster -

Night Secret has received a single Class 2 entry for William Haggas. It details a horse of interest but far from the better juveniles in the stable.  Ran ok on debut but disappointed (most likely ran race) next start at Newmarket. Has a fighting chance. 

Clive Cox has a few decent sorts in his string. Unless *Eligible has disappointed on both starts to date he looks a limited son of Dark Angel. The significant entry may have been a mistake. This Irish-bred cost a pretty penny at 130,000 G at the yearling sales (cost more at foal). Ninth on debut.  Even worse at Newmarket. Priced 28/1, but really needs a stick of dynamite up its ass. If is it has ability, connections are likely to be focusing on the nursery route. Dropping back in trip. Struggled to go the pace last time over 7f. Best watched. 

Night Secret 7/2 2nd 

Note: Eligible a non-runner. Night Secret ran well in second but not the class of the runaway winner Dazzling Dan. 

12:55 Doncaster - 

One of just a couple of two-year-olds James Bethell gave significant entries to this year. He is a very talented trainer who could do with some ammunition. Good to see Edgewood is in the ownership of David Armstrong, who could transform this stable as a loyal patron. This bay colt is a son of Garswood. This horse was nibbled at in the betting on debut at Leicester but relatively unfancied. Interesting that Jamie Spencer was onboard that day. The way this February foal ran, he needed the experience. There was significant money for Edgewood on his second start at Redcar. Once again, he took an age to get going - crawling back ground at the line to lose by a neck. You have to slightly question this drop back to 6f. Perhaps the trainer knows best? 

Edgewood 5/1 1st

Note: Edgewood coped with the drop in distance in a tight finish. Nice to see this colt get his head in front. 

5:00 Chelmsford - 

Charlie Appleby has done pretty well this season with his two-year-olds. True Belief with start at prohibitive odds. This Irish-bred son of Excelebration cost £95,000 at the yearling sales. Ran well enough when a beaten favourite on debut at York. Flopped the second start when contesting the Woodcote Stakes at Epsom. He was fancied to go well that day but finished last. Was slow away and then much too keen. There must have been an issue to have been off course such a long time unless he was given time to strengthen up with a winter campaign in mind. Worthy of respect. 

Interesting to see John Ryan's Battle Of Waterloo. Well, I say that although I am slightly fed up writing about this horse considering I was writing like Oscar Wilde when this beast was a non-runner when withdrawn at Newmarket due to soft ground. I really should cut and paste from the last post! (Joke). I never lack words about horses. Didn't do much on debut, perhaps showing a little bit of ability for a fleeting moment. Then, back like money was going out of fashion at Yarmouth. I don't know what was going on there. Ciaran Fallon (appreciate) either went much too fast or the horse ran off with gusto. Either way, it was there one moment and gone the next - tailed off. Interesting to see what might happen today but I'd take a watching brief. The only hope could be betting at 16/1+ and hope another gambler ensues. However, you may be wiser to just watch and learn. 

Battle Of Waterloo 10/1 1st
True Belief 4/5f 5th 

Note: What can I say? Even when I question the info it goes and wins easily at huge odds [16/1 early]. It really doesn't get any better than this. True Belief drifted in the betting and may have gone a touch too fast and paid the price. No more info coming on this page, so if you want to know the real talents contact me jason@professionalgamblers.co.uk 
  

5:30 Chelmsford - 

Mark Johnston fields Massam who has won twice in six starts. This son of Dubawi put in two wins and then stepped up to Group 3 [relatively fancied] but finished last. A fair juvenile with an official rating of 95 and total earning over £20,000.  

Massam 6/4 2nd

Note: Massam led for all the way but couldn't hold off the late finish of Spanish Mission. 

Thanks for all your support (but that's it for Group Horse - all future posts will be retrospective).