Saturday 3 November 2018

Saturday's 2YO Update (3rd November)

Nothing much to report yesterday - with a non-runner (Battle Of Waterloo). 

12:15 Newmarket -

Soft going. 

Quite a few debutantes here. Material Girl has valuable race experience with three fair efforts. Richard Spencer is a talented trainer who does well with a limited number of two-year-olds. This bay daughter of Pivotal cost £52,000 at the yearling sales. Ran respectably over course and distance on debut when relatively fancied in the betting. Although placed fifth was beaten three lengths. Didn't do much wrong second start when third. The form of the Kempton race, last time out, has been franked. A relatively wide draw and running wide made life hard. An official rating of 72 sets an average parameter. Has claims but may be vulnerable to a decent horse. 

Material Girl 20/1 2nd 

Note: The favourite won easily but Material Girl went pretty well at big odds to take second place. 

12:50 Newmarket - 

Imperial Charm has been knocking on the door. This bay filly is a daughter of Dubawi. Simon Crisford is a fine trainer who knows his horses and this April foal ran a sterling race on debut when placed third but beaten just half a length. She returned over course and distance. Punters may have been disappointed that the 6/4f finished someway down the field in third place. In truth, she bumped into a couple of live talents in Sunday Star (Ed Walker) & Maqsad (William Haggas). Definitely one of the better two-year-olds in the stable. Always a slight concern about the testing ground but if not inconvenienced has strong claims. 

Imperial Charm 11/10 1st

Note: Easy victory for Imperial Charm who has a decent level of ability. 

4:30 Newcastle - 

Another Richard Spencer two-year-old. You Never Can Tell is a decent juvenile illustrated by an official rating of 94. A winning debut. Far from a disgraced second start at Listed class when fourth beaten the same number of lengths. Two attempts at Group class saw this son of Elzaam finish last of seven and eight. This is a marked drop in class. Looking at the betting we see pretty prohibitive odds at 1/4f. Has to shoulder a win penalty. Also, you have to be careful that he hasn't regressed. In truth, this should be an opportunity to pick up some easy prize money. 

You Never Can Tell 1/2f

Note: You Never Can Tell had been dropped in class and won well at odds-on.