Tuesday 6 November 2018

Tuesday's 2YO Update

Coming to the end of the Flat turf season.  

12:15 Redcar - 

Div I

A big, old field on testing condition (soft). 

John Gosden has King Of Comedy going here. This son of Kingman is a home-bred colt from Lady Bamford. He ran out a comfy winner on debut at Sandown over 7f. Has strong claims. Like all of these winners, has to shoulder a penalty. However, this colt ran out a sweet victor giving the impression he can progress to bigger prizes. 

Interesting to see Victory Day making his second start for William Haggas. This son of Bated Breath is owned by Clipper Logistics. This March foal is detailed on our 10 Dark Horses Mailing so worthy of extra attention. He made his debut at Yarmouth, almost 50-days ago. Victory Day was relatively fancied on debut when slightly outpaced but run on in the closing stages. Should improve for that first start. This £270,000 yearling purchase was originally entered for the Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2). That was the beginning and the end of the significant entries so we will have to see whether this is something of a limitation. I would give the horse the benefit of the doubt. Even better claims if priced 13/2 & less SP (no betting as I write this post so time will tell).

King Of Comedy 8/15f 2nd
Victory Day 4/1 4th 

Note: King Of Comedy ran on but couldn't get to the debut winner. Victory Day was held up a long way off the pace. Ran on but just didn't look good enough in 4th. 

12:45 Redcar - 

Div 2 

Another big, old field. 

Five Amarones was an inspired purchase by Mike Smith from the Tom Dascombe stable. Next start, cruised home by four-and-a-half lengths. Considering this gelding was narrowly beaten by a head in a Selling Stakes, such an impressive victory came as something of a surprise. There is one thing that this horse likes - soft ground. Disappointed last time out at Nursery class and, I guess, reason connections have gone back to Stakes class. Has to shoulder a win penalty although a 5lb apprentice perched on top. Five Amarones is a limited horse with an official rating of 74. His strength is the testing ground. 

Kevin Ryan has George Mallory is on a recovery mission. This son of Kingman cost 145,000 Euros at the breeze-up sales. Readers will be familiar with the F. Gillespie's silks. This February foal was given a stiff task by making his debut in the Convivial Maiden Stakes (the richest Maiden in Europe). He was quite fancied that day when priced 11/1 at York. It was a very good debut when finishing 6th place and a similar number of lengths. I'm pretty sure connection (and punters) expected a big run at Ayr when stepping up to 1m on soft going. It was a very disappointing effort. Nothing happened. There must have been an issue that day because it just couldn't be that bad. A return to the soft ground. You have to consider the trainer knows best. Dropping back in trip. I'd expect a much better run today. 

Five Amarones 15/2 2nd 
George Mallory 4/1 8th 

Note: Five Amarones enjoyed the testing ground and put up a bold front-running performance. Beaten by a better horse in second place. George Mallory was well backed but showed nothing. There must be a problem with this horse because the first run showed real promise. The only other reason may be looking at nursery races. Be interesting to see if this big horse shines at some point. 

5:40 Kempton - 

Nivaldo won well on debut and given a Class 2 stakes entry. Has to defy a win penalty. 

Just noticed I had missed this second division. Another one of our 10 Dark Horses going here for Saeed bin Suroor. Silent Hunter was a beaten favourite on debut when finishing a respectable fourth. Should go well today and holds each-way claims. 

Nivaldo 13/8 1st
Silent Hunter 5/2 2nd 

Note: Nivaldo ran well under a win penalty. Cruised clear but was being caught near the line although eased to a fair win. Silent Hunter is clearly a decent horse and will be winning soon. Drifted to 5/1 on the exchanges and I had an each-way bet. Seemed to hang when in the straight and took an age to gather his pace before finishing with spirit.