How many mailings? (3)
The Holy Grail for most gamblers is having a tip at speculative odds with a real live chance.
That's what I endeavour to do with potentially 3 tips this new Flat turf season.
As I stated on the Pro Tip page, giving tips really is a thankless task and not something I do with relish.
What's interesting is how many speculative-priced horses win each two-year-old season. I wonder if you have any idea about this data? I've researched this matter and appreciate the good and bad of trying to find a winner at huge odds.
Also, when is the most likely time a two-year-old wins at speculative odds, and which trainers excel?
Unsurprisingly, most big-priced winners do so in their first three starts.
Compared to the number of winners throughout a two-year-old season, horses priced 20/1+ are few and far between.
With regard to horse trainer performance and individuals, there really is a limited number of handlers who can win a such big odds.
The interesting point here is that unless you know which trainers excel or not you'll struggle to pinpoint much at all.
One thing I want to underline, there is seemingly no logic to whether smaller or larger trainers win at speculative prices.
Logic would tell you that the smaller stables are most likely.
To a point this is correct but far from the full picture.
This is the trouble with a lack of data. As I often say regarding statistical research: Without objective testing, theories are only guesses however good.
You will be pleased to know I have all the data for each and every horse trainer, when they are most likely to win and more.
Are you ready for a speculative tip?