Showing posts with label Critical Data. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Critical Data. Show all posts

Thursday, 5 July 2018

Thursday's 2YO Racing Tips


3:00 Haydock - 

The first two-year-old nursery of the season. I can't say this is my favourite race type, although if I do have a fancy they usually go well. I will detail the significantly entered. Not sure if I will bother to do this for all the nursery races because those higher rated are likely to feature many. It proves the principle of Group Horse Daily that, amazingly, we detail the best horses in training. No surprise to those who follow and appreciate.

Significantly entered horses in this race.

High Horse 
Finoah
Dancing Speed 
Five Helmets
Ventura Bay 
Leoube

Conclusion:  Too many featured here to take the race seriously. I usually look for horses who haven't shown their hand in this race type in the hope they are on a good handicap mark. A couple who may have some hope, one not entered, are Leoube and Triple One, who is progressing well and must win races off 68. Time will tell. 

3:30 Haydock - 

Critical Data won well last time in a restricted auction race. Has to shoulder a win penalty which makes life harder. Pablo Escobarr ran well on debut when a beaten favourite to a fair juvenile in Certain Lad. Mark Johnston's charge has received a National Stakes (Group 1) entry for the big Irish race. 

6:15 Newbury - 

A rare entry for Henry Candy, who isn't the type of trainer to waste his time with foolish hopes. Layla's Dream has received a Class 2 entry a while back. This daughter of Assertive is a home bred for Lady Whent. The mare was a triple winer over sprint distance but a limited horse in some respects. Interesting horse. Candy can ready a debutante and it wouldn't be a surprise to see this February foal go well. On the opposite side debutantes can make you look very foolish at times. 

6:45 Newbury -

A well entered and talented juvenile here in The Paddocks, trained by Richard Hannon. Finished last in the Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) at Royal Ascot.  This son of Charm Spirit has to shoulder a win penalty. This will feel a lot easier but competitive. 

David Evans has been patient with Disruptor who was meant to make a return to racing the other day but a late non runner due to going. He didn't have much go right on first and second start. Very much in need of the experience on debut when running on and pushed wide on the bend at Lingfield when a beaten favourite. I think that race was decent and the fact he started the jolly positives. There was money for this chestnut colt the other day at Chepstow so I wouldn't be writing him off. I get the impression connection are looking for slightly better ground so could be a non runner. However, a horse who should run a race if starting. 

Hugo Palmer has been quiet this season and not hitting the high notes as yet. James Street was meant to run at Yarmouth the other week but withdrawn on a vet's certificate. There was a little bit of money for this son of Gale Force Ten. A 130,000G breeze up (2yo) purchase in the familiar ownership of M M Stables. They have stablemate Never Back Down, who is pretty smart and a note two-year-old for us last season. 

Saturday, 23 June 2018

Saturday's 2YO Racing Tips


Been a couple of quiet days as I fly back from America. Still feel like my watch tells the time of West Palm Beach. 

2:10 Newmarket - 

Flash Sentry was entered for a Class 2 race on debut at Musselburgh but showed little. John Ryan has decided on this marked step up in distance to 7f. The betting of 66/1 says no chance. 

Richard Hannon has a couple of entrants worthy of note. Neverland Rocks cost 480,000 euros and fancied on debut at Newbury over 6f 1/2. Gave the impression there would be more to come on this second start. Mordred received an entry for the Chesham Stakes Listed race at Royal Ascot. The only horse to be entered for the stable which suggests this son of Camelot, a 175,000G purchase, has ability. Interesting to consider how these two are viewed. Perhaps one needs the run or the stable are trying to blur the lines. If Mordred is backed, it could be significant. 

7:15 Haydock - 

Another Hannon charge who is progressive if not luckless is Glorious Dane. This Irish-bred son of Olympic Glory was a big drifter in the market on debut at Leicester. Very slow starter but showed a glimmer of ability. Next start, stepped up to 7f at Sandown, and relatively fancied in the betting. A slow start and hampered in the early stages saw this bay colt run on with real purpose. Must have got close if starting on terms. 

8:00 Lingfield - 

Just for good measure, another Hannon two-year-old with a significant entry. Critical Data ran with credit on debut at Leicester (the same race at Glorious Dane) and although a 33/1 chance came 4th. Made his return in a Class 2 race with decent prize money when third behind a couple of fair juveniles. A beaten favourite that day. Didn't do much wrong and stepping up to 7f should help. Looks a great purchase at just 20,000G.