Showing posts with label Emten. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Emten. Show all posts

Tuesday, 30 April 2019

Tuesday's 2YO Update (30th April)


Monday detailed a couple of debut winners. 

Strive For Glory won on the line for Robert Cowell. It looked a poor race with the second favourite a non-runner and odds-on favourite stuck behind a wall of horses. It's all good for Group Horse but I must admit I didn't fancy the horse to win as the trainer has a poor strike rate with debutantes. I feel it won by circumstance. However, most winners are about circumstance. 

At Windsor, Emten won well for Jamie Osborne and the Melbourne 10 Racing syndicate. There is little doubt the stable fancied this two-year-old to go well. The betting was a little misleading as this good-looking filly was on the edge of a betting guide which suggested a big run. She won pretty easily. It's a good sign when Osbourne's juveniles win on debut and I can imagine she will be heading to Royal Ascot. 

Tuesday

Three two-year-old races on the day. Just a quick look to detail the significantly entered juveniles. 

1:30 Nottingham - 

Just the sole significant entry going. Richard Hannon's two-year-olds are never the easiest to assess and a few fancied of late have looked in need of the experience. Beignet is quite a well-bred filly being sired by Canford Cliffs and out of a decent mare in Cake, who did well for the stable winning on her first two starts and far from disgraced when fifth in the Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) beaten less than two lengths. Beignet ran well on debut at Brighton, but couldn't hold the late charge of Paul Cole's winner. This drop back to 5f will help and that race brings valuable experience. Cole's victor is probably a fair juvenile with size and scope so I can see the form of the first two holding up. A few debutantes are in opposition, and if they are fancied in the betting could, from a statistical point of view, put down a challenge. I would take a watching brief but expect Beignet to run a sound race. 

2:25 Brighton - 

Another Hannon two-year-old with form. Audio is the only significantly-entered juvenile in this race. This son of Equiano cost 24,000 guineas at the yearling sales. His debut effort was difficult to assess in ways. Electric Ladyland won carrying a penalty, while Saeed bin Suroor's favourite Dark Of Night fluffed his lines with a slow start. Audio wasn't overly fancied in the betting, which may suggest he was in need of the run. Also, he was racing wide for the whole trip which couldn't have helped his cause. Audio should go well in this restricted race type although it is difficult to assess that first start. 

2:45 Yarmouth - 

A couple of significantly-entered juveniles here. Mark Johnston's Don't Joke is expected to improve for his first start. He was fancied to go well on debut at Bath but could never get to grips with the pace of Zulu Zander, who was carrying a penalty, for an easy win at Leicester the time before. It was a fair debut if not a little bit tricky to assess. I imagine the experience will be a plus and this better ground may be more to his liking. 

The other entered juveniles is Robert Cowell's Taste The Nectar. The stable had a winner on Monday when Strive For Glory won at Newcastle. This American-bred daughter of More Than Ready cost $65,000 when purchased at the Keeneland yearling sales. It is positive that this filly holds an entry of some note. However, the stable have a poor strike rate with their two-year-old debutantes which doesn't bolster confidence. I would have to take a watching brief of this filly but hope she goes well. 

Jeremy Noseda's Fleeting Princess doesn't have any entries at this time but could prove the biggest danger. If priced 11/4 and less SP could take some beating.  

Monday, 29 April 2019

Monday's 2YO Update (29th April)


A few significantly-entered juveniles running today. 

2:40 Southwell - 

Bendy Spirit was given a Brocklesby Stakes entry. This son of Helmet wasn't particularly fancied in the betting on that occasions when the stable's first string [Show Me Show Me] won well for Ontoawinner syndicate. Bendy Spirit showed good pace but tired rapidly in the closing stages and finished nearer last than first. Better was seen next start at Pontefract. Alminoor ran out an easy winner. However, Bendy Spirit ran creditably, held up off the pace and finished with some spirit. A nice-looking colt, progressive, and is likely to show improved form today. The form of the Pontefract race has been franked to some extent. If Bendy Spirit drifts to decent odds [8/1+] could hold each way claims. 

Mark Tompkin's Prosecutor is the other entrant and been backed from over 100/1 on the exchanges. 

2:50 Newcastle - 

Robert Cowell is a fair trainer and it is worth noting Strive For Glory has been given an entry for a class 2 race. In fact, this bay colt, a son of Dialled In, who cost $80,000, was earmarked to run at Ascot. Last year, Cowell had eight two-year-olds he identified as having a touch of class and the majority won in their formative season. It is telling that very few of Cowell's two-year-old debutantes win. Even when pretty fancied in the betting they have about a 10% chance of winning, although fair place claims. Strive For Glory is worth noting today but more for the future. 

5:25 Windsor - 

Interesting to note Jamie Osborne's two-year-olds this season have shown up pretty well on debut, which isn't always the case for his juveniles. Emten is a bay daughter of Bungleinthejungle in the ownership of Melbourne 10 Racing and a £36,000 yearling purchase. Once again, Osborne isn't known for two-year-old winners on their racing bow. However, he can hit the mark when they are priced 9/2 & less SP. If outside this price guide it is unlikely they will prevail. 

Once again, Group Horse shows its worth with two winners on the day.