Showing posts with label Spell. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Spell. Show all posts

Friday, 12 October 2018

Friday's 2YO Update (12th October)


Plenty of class 2yo races to consider today. 

Here is list to recap:

1:50 Newmarket (G)
2:05 York (N) 
2:25 Newmarket (G)
3:15 York  
3:35 Newmarket (G)
4:45 Newmarket 
5:00 York 

5:20 Newmarket 
6:15 Wolverhampton (S) 
7:45 Wolverhampton 


Key: (G) Group race, (N) Nursery & (S) Selling race

We don't consider Group races as betting races (rarely) but simply enjoy them as a conclusion to the two-year-old journey for many quality horses (that we detail throughout the year). 

3:15 York - 

A Class 3 race so a good number of these are likely to have been given significant entries at some point. I am writing and reviewing at the same time - so we will see!

Exalted Angel was noted by Group Horse Daily before making her debut for Karl Burke. Starting her career over 5f at Nottingham, saw a pleasing first start. This Irish-bred daughter of Dark Angel ran well, closing nicely in the final furlong. Inexperience may well have cost her victory that day. This February foal should be wiser today. From a statistical point has very good each-way claims. 

Decent price money going here so there is likely to be some opposition. 

Richard Hannon's Spell is quite well regarded. She ran well on debut when narrowly foiled. Beaten at Listed class over course and distance. This Irish-bred daughter of Slade Power was outpaced but run on well that day. She had a prime draw at Kempton when stepping up to 6f. Travelled well and clung to the rail but was caught at the furlong pole. It was a slightly disappointing effort in ways. Considering Spell had been off course since early May it is possible she was in need of the run. 

Broken Spear has been very busy this season. A true speedster, this gelding has run nine times and achieved one win when scooting clear by seven lengths. He has been a credit to Tony Coyle and been placed on numerous occasions. Most recently, far from disgraced at Listed class. Coming back to stakes class means having the win penalty as a burden which doesn't help matters. Likely to lead and hope to steal a few easy lengths, trying to hold on to grim death. 

Tim Easterby does well at this course. Arletta Star was entered for a Listed race earlier in the year but didn't take that race. She wasn't fancied on debut but ran with some promise in fifth. Then beaten pretty easily into third by a couple of decent sorts over 6f at Haydock. Interesting to see this horse drop back in trip. Needs to find a lot of improvement but I do get the impression connections think she has some ability. 

Conclusion: An interesting race. Exalted Angel has a decent chance and if an each-way price worthy of respect. Spell is difficult to assess. She may be better than seen as connections must think a bit of her. Broken Spear will do well to defy the win penalty. Probably set the pace and tire in the closing furlong. While Arletta Star needs to find a lot of improvement. A couple of other form horses [Angel Alexander & Skeetah] make it a race of some depth. 

Broken Spear 4/1 1st
Angel Alexander 11/8f 2nd 
Spell 7/1 3rd 
Arletta Star 25/1 6th

Note: Broken Spear showed his pace and literally had the opposition on the ropes. A great performance under a penalty. Spell ran on well but needs a stiffer course. Exalted Angel proved disappointing. 

 4:45 Newmarket - 

Charlie Hills has noted Rhossili Down. She ran well behind the ultra-talented Fashion's Star (who we noted in advance of debut). 

Rhossili Down 11/2 9th

Note: Rhossili Down didn't do much. Interesting to see if she bounces back next start as this looks too bad to be true. 

5:00 York - 

Ralph Beckett has been in good form with his juveniles. Sam Cooke ran well on debut when beaten by a fair talent in Artois. Punters were left reeling when he was beaten by Ticklish at 2/5f. The pair beat the third by over ten lengths so it may have been the case Mark Johnston's winner is fair. That race was at auction class, as is this, so it should give plenty of opportunities to hit the frame. 

Couldn't help but smile when I noticed Cadeau D'Amour running. Richard Fahey's son of Camacho was entered for the Brocklesby Stakes. See, how many people could tell you that piece of information? He cost £35,000 at the yearling sales. Now in the ownership of Middleham Park. 

Sam Cooke 2/1 1st 
Cadeau D'Amour 25/1 unp

Note: Sam Cooke had shown a level of ability and enjoyed a tidy success. 

5:20 Newmarket - 

William Haggas has Night Secret. This Irish-bred daughter of Dark Angel looked in need of the experience on debut. Been entered for a Class 2 stakes race which gives some confidence although far from the best in the stable. 

Another filly with a similar entry is Richard Hannon's Star Of War. A big price on debut at Leicester behind stablemate Canton Queen. Ran a great race when stepping up to one mile at this course three weeks ago. The first two beat the rest well. She lost on the nod after a sustained battle with Peter Chapple-Hyam's Sh Boom. Interesting to see how this drop back in distance goes. 

Star Of War 5/1 5th 
Night Secret 10/1 8th 

Note: Night Secret was very weak in the betting which suggested she wasn't good enough. Star Of War ran a respectable race.  

6:15 Wolverhampton - 

We don't, generally, take much notice of Selling races. Often it is to do with time so you should keep checking yourself. A couple of noted entrants. Bill Turner's Arthur's Spirit. Interesting to see Gay Kellway has Elieden still trying to get that first win after nine starts. Will it be tenth time lucky? 

Elieden 5/1 8th 
Arthur's Spirit 12/1 9th 

Note: Elieden was slow away, bumped and then ran wide. No chance. Maybe capable of winning at this grade if/when something goes right. Arthur's Secret was very weak in the betting and out of form.  

Monday, 1 October 2018

Monday's 2YO Update


Had a rest day on Sunday. It has been a tiring time of late. Wanted to get this update for you as flying to West Palm Beach, Florida tomorrow (Monday). There shouldn't be any problems keeping you informed. Please remember, the time for this free promotion is running down so if you have any interest in receiving Group Horse Daily and (more importantly) the very selective racing tips then contact me. Such is our confidence that we guarantee your subscription with a full refund if not showing a points profit. Simply send me an email to jason@professionalgamblers.co.uk saying you are interested with no obligation (it just helps me get an idea of numbers). If the subscription is low I will simply keep the information to myself. 

3:15 Bath - 

Just the one entrant here being Stan Moore's Delta Bravo. It is interesting that Moore entered this Irish-bred daughter of Mastercraftsman in a Class 2 stakes. To be fair this filly done little that day. It was a competitive affair with the winner, Fashion's Star, making a sparkling victory and detailed on our 10 Dark Horse Mailing. Delta Bravo is taking a marked step up in distance [1m 2f]. 

In truth, Moore has been very quiet this season with no two-year-olds of note. This doesn't help add to confidence. 

Interesting but I would take a watching brief unless you like a speculative punt. 

Dela Bravo 66/1 8th

6:15 Kempton - 

Spell has received a few significant entries over these months. This daughter of Slade Power ran well on debut when beaten by a neck into third and then fifth in a Listed race at York. Not seen for over 100 days. Well drawn. Needs to bet fit and without issues after such a long absence. 

Spell 9/2 5th

6:45 Kempton - 

Hugo Palmer hasn't had the best of seasons with his two-year-olds but Red October has been noted. This son of Dawn Approach ran well on debut at Auction class. The first two looked capable of that grade and left the third some way behind. By grade, this is a step up in class. From a statistical point of view has fair each-way claims. 

Red October 100/30 2nd 

7:15 Kempton - 

Ralph Beckett has been in great form with his juveniles this season. We detailed *James Park Woods before debut. This son of Australia was beaten well but that race looks very tough and been franked a number of times. Beaten over eight lengths back in fifth. Stepping up in distance. A decent draw. Beckett does well at the course and looks the type to go well. The tongue tie has been applied for the first time. 

*NR

Tuesday, 1 May 2018

Tuesday's Racing Update (1st May)


Five two-year-old races for Tuesday. Still a lot of testing going which has been a factor all season. 


I will detail the horses with significant entries.

2:00 Nottingham - 

Fillies' Novice stakes over 5f 8y on soft going. 

Just the one entry here being Richard Hannon's Spell. This Irish-bred daughter of Slade Power is worth noting. 

NR: Spell

2:10 Yarmouth - 

A Maiden Stakes (Plus 10) over 5f 42y on good to soft going,

George Scott's Usain Boat didn't cost a fortune at the yearling sales [23,000 euros]. However, this Irish-bred of Casamento has been noted by the trainer. A good jockey booking, too. Hard Forest is one of a few juveniles given a significant entry by Mark Johnston. This daughter of Hard Spun is the only filly in the line up but a horse with plenty of pace. The drying ground may be in her favour. To be fair, she has looked a slightly short runner on both starts but her experience will most likely see her lead. If running to the line - or gaining an easy lead - should go close. From a statistical point of view Artair is interesting. Michael Bell doesn't have many early two-year-olds and this colt was fancied on debut at Windsor. He was held up but made smooth headway (touched short prices in-running) before being outpointed in the final furlong by Blown by Wind, who is a fair horse. This looks a competitive little field. Intriguing race. 

Conclusion: Hard Forest is a fair juvenile and most blast clear of the field and hope to hold on. Artair doesn't have any entries but on stats has pretty strong claims. Usain Boat could be the surprise package.  

1st Artair 11/10f
2nd Usain Boat 9/2 

2:20 Brighton - 

A Novice Auction Stakes over 5f 60y on good to soft going. 

No horses with significant entries. 

5:45 Kempton - 

A Novice Auction Stakes over 5f on standard going. 

Ten two-year-olds take part. It's The Only Way ran out a tidy winner on debut and a good-looking colt. Has to give away weight with a penalty. Wolf Hunter has been given a significant entry by Richard Hughes but showed nothing on debut. Best watched. Sylvester Kirk's Wolstonbury was noted by the trainer and run in a hot Newbury maiden.This son of Kodiac showed an element of ability before the three leaders left the rest standing. Probably capable of better but need to show more. Quite interested in Michael Bell's Brelade's Bay. This daughter of Footstepsinthesand cost £20,000 at the breeze-up sales. Well drawn in stall two. Interesting. Tom Clover had a winning debutante at Windsor and a capable trainer. Rajy is a bay daughter of Society Rock and £19,00 yearling purchase. The fact she was given a significant entry speaks well. A horse that may slip under the radar. A wide draw isn't ideal. 

Conclusion: It's The Only Way should go well even with a penalty. Brelade's Bay is definitely of interest and I can see her running well. Rajy is another worth noting for the future. A wide draw makes life difficult. 

1st It's The Only Way 11/10f
2nd Um Shama 16/1 
3rd Dolly Dupree 25/1

6:15 Kempton - 

An EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes over 5fon standard going.

A couple of significant entrants here with the once-raced Chynna and Ed Walker's On the Stage. The former ran well on debut at Newmarket. The form of that race has been franked although not the easiest to make sense. On The Stage is a home bred daughter of Swiss Spirit in the familiar silks of Lordship Stud. 

1st On The Stage 3/1 
2nd Thegreytrain 80/1
3rd Chynna 9/4