Showing posts with label Sovereign Grant. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sovereign Grant. Show all posts

Wednesday, 10 October 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update (10th October)


1:30 Nottingham - 

Aluqair has been noted by Simon Crisford. A recent Class 2 entry brings some confidence. This son of Kodiac cost £48,00 at the breeze-up sales. 

Aluqair 6/1 4th 

Note: A nice introduction.

2:30 Nottingham - 

Michael Bell has seen a few decent two-year-olds come to hand this season. Eagles By Day is owned by Clipper Logistics and cost 125,000 guineas at the yearling sales. Probably a fair sign to have Jamie Spencer in the saddle. Bell isn't the easiest trainer to assess with debutantes. The best can win at the first time of asking. However, they can vary from one extreme to the other. Babbo's Bell is an example. Looked to be coming for money but drifted markedly in the betting and was in need of the run. With any juvenile making its racecourse bow at this time of the year, they may be in need of experience or the run. The betting is the best guide. If priced 13/2 & less SP would bring more hope. 

Eagles By Day 7/1 2nd 

Note: Note: A big drifter on the exchanges but a bit of money late. Ran a very nice race in second. A fair juvenile who has very good claims next start.

The only other entrant is Marcus Tregoning's Strindberg. He doesn't give many entries and this son of Sea The Moon was a huge price on debut when showing a bit of pace because dropping out of contention. Beaten a long way. Stepping up in distance but needs to transform from a caterpillar into a butterfly. The only interesting aspect is a price of 50/1. On balance, you'd have to take a watching brief and a result looks very unlikely.

Strindberg 50/1 4th

Note: Strindberg, once again, showed the worth of this information. Looked to have a lot to proved but well backed, returning 20/1. Was 200/1+ on the exchanges early. Ran well to finish 4th. 

5:40 Kempton - 

A good few horses of note here. 

Buffalo River has shown a level of ability on all three starts. John Gosden is an excellent trainer and a very good judge. Punters who followed this son of Noble Mission on his last two starts have probably pulled their hair out by now. A crushing loss at 2/9f putting the cherry on the layers' cake. In truth, this horse has a fair level of ability. Whether you wish to bet at fractional odds-on after three losses is a matter of opinion. 

Note: Drifted markedly in betting when very keen to post but ran out a tidy winner.

Richard Hannon is a fair judge with a vast string of two-year-olds. Ajrar is well entered. She won easily on debut by three lengths. Runner-up at Listed class. Two credible runs at Group 3. Then a disappointment when attempting Group 2. This daughter of Nayef needs to leave that last race behind her. There is always a fear she has regressed. In addition, she has to defy a win penalty which isn't easy against strong opposition. Ajrar has achieved an official rating of 94. Few horses get to that level. Interesting. I would have to take a watching brief. 

Buffalo River 11/10f 1st
Ajrar 6/1 2nd 

Note: Far from disgraced finishing second under a win penalty and against a talented colt. Drifted to over 16/1+ on exchanges before some late money.

6:10 Kempton - 

Sir Michael Stoute has 10 significantly entered two-year-olds this season. Sovereign Grant has run twice and fancied to go well on both starts. She isn't the best looking filly. My brother noted this when at Great Yarmouth, where she disappointed at 4/6f. She wasn't beaten far into third. Has a chance but may have some limitation. 

Sovereign Grant 15/8f 1st

Note: Won easily. 

Wednesday, 19 September 2018

Wednesday's 2YO Update


Just a quick update as I am at Great Yarmouth's Eastern Festival. From West Palm Beach via London to the Norfolk coast.  Hence, the late update. 

I'm getting around.

1:50 Beverley - 

We don't see too many significantly entered two-year-olds going for Claiming races but Gay Kelleway is taking that option with Elieden. This daughter of Camacho has an official rating of 71 which tells the story of a limited horse but one that has enough ability to win a race. She has been entered for a few race this year showing glimmers of ability. Looks like connections are dropping in class to gain that first elusive win.    

Elieden 11/4f 3rd

2:10 Sandwon - 

William Haggas has a decent string of juveniles and Dalaalaat is making his debut today. This son of Kingman is worthy of respect. 

Voltaic has run well on both starts to date and has valuable experience on side. This chestnut son of Power ran well in the Convivial Maiden Stakes at York, the one significant entry he has received. Stepping up to one mile. A decent juvenile at odds of 6/1.

Conclusion: Just the two significant entrants here.  Paul Cole's Voltaic could well hit the frame at each way odds. Dalaalaat is in one of Haggas' best betting guides which give hope but will need to be a fair talent to win on debut. 

Dalaalaat 3/1 5th 
Voltaic 14/1 6th 

2:20 Beverley - 

Air Force Amy ran well on debut in a competitive race. Looks to hold fair each-way claims. 

Air Force Amy 11/2 2nd 

2:30 Yarmouth - 

Big old fields. 

Saeed bin Suroor has definitely achieved more this two-year-old season. It makes a change after being given the lesser lights for far too long. Royal Meeting is fancied to go well here after a recent Class 2 entry. Not the easiest horse to assess. 

Charlie Appleby has given Aquanura similar entry. He has run well on both starts to date and sets a decent standard. 

Other significant entrants include Alrajaa. Fancied on both starts to date and beaten favourite at Sandown when fading tamely in the final furlong. I can imagine connections were a little disappointed with that effort. 

Clipper Logistics is no stranger to decent two-year-olds and Victory Day makes his debut for William Haggas. This son of Bated Breath cost £270,000 at the yearling sales. Interesting that he received a Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) entry some time back but no other entries since. It may indicate he had a set back at some point. Haggas does well at this course. I would prefer To see this youngster priced 13/2 & less SP to hold best chances but not without a hope. 

Conclusion: Looks like a four-horse race on betting. Not the easiest of races to assess. The two debutantes [Royal Meeting & Victory Day] will need to be pretty smart on debut to beat the form horses although they may not have lived up to expectation. I would have to take a watching brief. 

Royal Meeting 2/1 1st
Alrajaa 4/1 2nd 
Aquanura 11/4 3rd
Victory Day 5/1 5th

2:40 Sandown - 

Good Fortune is a very well entered horse for Charlie Appleby.

Harry Dunlop has only one horse significantly entered and that is Goldino Bello. 

Good Fortune 6/5f 2nd 
Goldino Bello 25/1 4th 

2:50 Beverley - 

Rock Up In Style has received a Class 2 Stakes entry 

Rock Up In Style 6/1 5th 

3:00 Yarmouth - 

Sir Michael Stoute has noted Sovereign Grant. He ran well on debut when running on in the closing stages, giving the impression the race was needed. Almost three weeks off course, and sure to be fitter this time around.

The only other entrant noted by the trainer is David Simcock's Wiretap. Not the easiest of horses to assess and a horse who gives the impression has had a few issues along the way, which isn't ideal. Was fancied on debut at Yarmouth but easily beaten. However, the form of that race has turned out to be very good. Doesn't look fancied in the betting. If seriously backed to 13/2 & less SP would have much better claims. Keep an eye on the betting. 

Wiretap 8/1 2nd 
Sovereign Grant 4/6f 3rd

4:00 Beverley - 

Summer Blossom has been consistent and looking for this filly. 

Sabai Sabai has been noted by Ralph Beckett but has been disappointing of late. 

Summer Blossom 5/4f 2nd 
Sabai Sabai 7/4 4th 

Friday, 31 August 2018

Friday's 2YO Update


A good few races and significant two-year-olds going today.  

2:40 Sandown - 

7f Bet & Watch At 188bet.co.uk EBF Maiden Stakes (Div I) (Class 5) (2yo)

An intriguing race with a few fair juveniles. 

John Gosden's Alrajaa made a nice introduction over course and distance when finishing fourth at odds of 7/2. Looking as though in need of the run, this son of Dubawi is held in high regard by the stable. This bay colt was the sole candidate for the Convivial Stakes at York but bypassed that wealthy Maiden to head here. 

Readers may have seen a couple of debut winners from Sir Michael Stoute (both Layaleena and Sangarius detailed on Group Horse). Stoute has another debutante of note racing here in the ownership of Her Majesty The Queen. Sovereign Grant is one of few entrants for the Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1). Very few of Stoute's two-year-old debutantes win when priced over 8/1. This should help assess. If fancied in the betting should go well. 

3:15 Sandown - 

7f Bet & Watch At 188bet.co.uk EBF Maiden Stakes (Div II) (Class 5) (2yo)

Sir Michael Stoute has Almania who was a beaten favourite when fourth at Ascot over 6f. This 500,000 guinea yearling purchase is worthy of note. This son of Australia ran credibly on debut but giving the impression this step up in distance is needed. This strong-looking bay is definitely one of the best juveniles at Freemason Lodge Stables. Connections will be disappointed if he doesn't win today. 

Other horses worthy of note include:

William Haggas' Coup De Gold is making his debut and a 155,000 euro purchase at the yearling sales. Racing in the ownership of Sunderland Holdings Inc this son of Maxios is of interest. The stable's juvenile can go well when fancied in the betting although, at times, unpredictable.

Charlie Fellows doesn't have the biggest string of two-year-olds but Divine Gift has been noted. This Irish-bred son of Nathaniel was priced 14/1 on debut when racing over course and distance. Much more is needed - but may be capable of better at 40/1. 

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