Showing posts with label Catan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Catan. Show all posts

Friday, 2 November 2018

Friday's 2YO Update (2nd November)


Well, we saw a really smart debut from Headman on Thursday. Roger Charlton has a few exciting prospects for next year and this horse and Fashion's Star were both identified by Group Horse before they set hoof on track. I know what some of you are saying: ''Well how many horses have been noted for Charlton all season?'' Just four!

The other two being Momkin and Catan who have both won and classy, too.

If you struggle to find valuable information that actually helps you to beat the bookies then the answer my friends is here. 

Enough chewing the cud. 

12:30 Newmarket - 

*Battle Of Waterloo is the only significant entry here. John Ryan's gelding was a huge price on debut. I thought he showed a little bit of promise before dropping out of contention in a stiff race. He was exceptionally well backed next start at Yarmouth. I wasn't sure what was going in that day! Apprentice, Cieren Fallon, was on board. There is little doubt the horse ran much too keenly. I'm not sure if the jockey meant to go a crazy pace or the horse simply took off. Battle Of Waterloo was leading one moment and tailed off the next. Perhaps connections fancied their chance and it all went wrong. The only point of interest today is that this son of Big Bad Bob is 33/1. It is probably a bonus that Tom Queally is perched on top. In truth, you wouldn't hold your breath that anything much is going to happen. However, we should, hopefully, see what this gelding can do (if he's not too keen).

*NR

Tuesday, 9 October 2018

Tuesday's 2YO Racing Update (9th October)


1:30 Catterick - 

Archie Watson's Summer Blossom is as consistent as they come. Did nothing wrong last time out when leading for most and just outpointed in the closing stages. A battling type who is likely to try to lead. Deserves to taste victory. I'm always slightly concerned juveniles with a number of hard races may regress at some point. However, this daughter of Society Rock is a hearty type. 

Summer Blossom 10/11f 3rd

3:00 Brighton - 

Catan put in a bold show last time out for Roger Charlton. Backed from huge odds, no doubt a consequence of certain people knowing this colt was going to do front-running tactics. Under a weight penalty, he ran a sterling race being collared in the shadow of the post. 

Catan 11/4 1st

Note: So pleased to see Royal Marine win at Longchamp, Group 1 Jean-Luc Lagardere for trainer Saeed bin Suroor at Longchamp, France on Sunday, 7 October. This colt was detailed on our 10 Dark Horse Mailing

See what we said about Royal Marine. 

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Saturday, 22 September 2018

Saturday's 2YO Update


Well, I have got back from Great Yarmouth and updated all the race reviews. Now I have to look at Saturday's action and it's 9:30pm. 

It takes a lot of effort to update this info. 

Far too many races so I'm going to keep this as brief as I can which usually means the post is longer than ever. I hope not for my sake. 

1:15 Newbury - 

Richard Hannon's *Masaru won well on debut then finished eighth in the Goffs Premier Yearling Stakes when a beaten favourite. This bay colt is well respected in the stable and made favourite to take the spoils. Interesting to see how he goes. I must admit, I do have concerns about many of these winners who carry penalties. A lot have failed to deliver as favourites under the burden. I will run a study on these at the end of the season to gain more insight because I don't think many are value at short odds. Certainly, class horses can win but it is something to consider. 

One horse at big odds noted by trainer Marcus Tregoning is Tell William. In general, few of his debutant win at speculative odds. This son of Invincible Spirit is priced 40/1. 

Tell William 25/1 8th


* NR

1:40 Chelmsford - 

Roger Charlton's Catan has an entry although looks one of the stable's lesser lights. A winner at huge odds last start and has to defy a win penalty. 

Catan 8/1 3rd 

2:10 Newmarket - 

Simon Crisford has noted El Gumryah, who ran well on debut in a strong field at Goodwood. 

Star Of War has been given a Class 2 entry which may suggest ability. Ran ok on debut at Leicester when behind impressive stablemate Canton Queen. Stepping up to a mile should help. 

Star Of War 7/1 2nd
El Gumryah 7/2 3rd

4:05 Newmarket - 

I always like William Haggas' two-year-old runners at Newmarket. As often the case with talented juveniles, they show their form second start. Coup De Gold has been noted by connections and a costly purchase at 155,000 euros. This son of Maxios was fancied to go well on debut at Sandown but little went right: slowly into stride, keen and then stumbling. However, he did show latent ability and one would suspect better today. The hood has been applied for the first time to help concentrate the mind. Wouldn't want to be slow from the stall but that experience should help. 

Interesting to see Clive Cox has Eligible making his debut. Cox isn't the type of trainer to detail horses of limited ability and this son of Dark Angel cost 145,000 guineas as a foal and races in the silks of A D Spence. A noted owner. Priced 14/1, it will be interesting to see if this juvenile is backed. I'd be pretty confident this horse has ability, although if a big price you have to consider it may need the run. In general, the two-year-olds are fit and well. Interesting to see how this one goes. 

Another one of Marcus Tregoning's debutantes in Strindberg. This son of Sea The Moon wasn't the most expensive but given a Class 2 stakes entry which suggests connections have some hope. As detailed above, most of there debutantes need the run at speculative prices although they can show ability. At 33/1 this horse is a big price if fancying a punt. 

Conclusion: Coup De Gold will run well. Interesting to see if Eligible is backed. Maybe worth a speculative punt at big odds in the hope it is backed.  

Note: Must apologise for not noticing that King Ottokar had been given a significant entry by Charlie Fellows. The horse was well backed and won! 

King Ottokar 9/2 1st 
Coup De Gold 3/1 8th 
Eligible 12/1 9th 
Strindberg 50/1 unp

8:15 Wolverhampton - 

Saeed bin Suroor is going well this season, which makes a change from the lull of the last few meagre harvests. *Dubai Icon wasn't fancied on debut but likely to show up well here. 

Mark Jonhston has Henry's Conquest. A recent Class 2 stakes entry may indicate hope. Priced 16/1 in the betting, it would bring more confidence. Very few of their debutantes win at bigger odds. 

Henry's Conquest 14/1 6th 

* NR

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